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TIAN Li, LI Yongfu, SHAO Lei, ZHANG Yue. Measuring Spatio-temporal Characteristics of City Expansion and Its Driving Forces in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2017, 27(6): 875-890. doi: 10.1007/s11769-017-0883-9
Citation: TIAN Li, LI Yongfu, SHAO Lei, ZHANG Yue. Measuring Spatio-temporal Characteristics of City Expansion and Its Driving Forces in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2017, 27(6): 875-890. doi: 10.1007/s11769-017-0883-9
shu

Measuring Spatio-temporal Characteristics of City Expansion and Its Driving Forces in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015

doi: 10.1007/s11769-017-0883-9
  • 1.

    Department of Urban Planning, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;

  • 2.

    Department of Architecture, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China

Funds:  Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41590844)
More Information
  • Corresponding author: LI Yongfu.E-mail:li_yf@126.com
  • Received Date: 2016-07-22
  • Rev Recd Date: 2016-10-24
  • Publish Date: 2017-12-27
  • Urbanization has both direct and indirect impacts on land use change, and analyzing spatio-temporal characteristics of land use change is essential for understanding these impacts. By comparing Landsat TM images, this paper examines the changes of land use structure and landscape patterns in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015. It finds that the city doubled in size, with the growth of isolated construction land being most significant among eight land use types. A land use change matrix was established and landscape indices were selected to evaluate the change of spatial structure in Shanghai. In order to identify the main driving forces of city expansion in Shanghai, this research ran partial least square regression models to assess the impact of 10 social-economic factors on land use change of Shanghai from 1990 to 2015. It then conducted bivariate correlation analysis to explore the drivers of change of various land use types:urban settlement, rural settlement and isolated construction land. Besides quantitative analysis, this paper analyzes the influence of policy-dimensional factors in land use change. It concludes with future potential research topics on land use change in a rapidly urbanizing context.
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    [30] Tian L, 2007. Impacts of public transit on residential property values in the land market of China:evidence from two transport projects in Guangzhou. Journal of Property Research, 23(4):347-365. doi: 10.1080/09599910601095365
    [31] Tian L, Ma W, 2009. Government intervention in city development of China:a tool of land supply. Land Use Policy, 26:599-609. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2008.08.012
    [32] Tian L, Zhu J, 2013. Clarification of collective land rights and its impact on construction land use in the Pearl River Delta of China:a case of Shunde. Cities, 2013(35):190-199. doi:10. 1016/j.cities.2013.07.003
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    [34] Tian L, Ge B, Li Y, 2016. Impacts of state-led and bottom-up urbanization on land use change in the peri-urban areas of Shanghai:Planned growth or uncontrolled sprawl? Cities, 2016(1):1-11. doi:10.1016/j.cities.2016.01.002rations for study. International Social Science Journal, 43:669-679.
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    [36] Turner M G, Gardner R H, O'Neill R V, 2001. Landscape Ecology in Theory and Practice. New York:Springer-Verlag.
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    [38] Wu C, Lu Z, Yang Z et al., 2009. Quantitative study of dynamic relationship between urbanization and construction land expansion in China. China Land Science, 23(2):18-23. (in Chinese)
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    [42] Xu Jiangang, Liao Banggu, Shen Qing et al., 2007. Urban spatial restructuring in transitional economy-Changing land use pattern in Shanghai. Chinese Geographical Science, 17(1):19-27. doi: 10.1007/s11769-007-0019-8
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    [44] Zhang Shuiqing, Du Debin, 2001. Analysis on suburbanization model of Shanghai. Areal Research and Development, 20(4):22-26. (in Chinese)
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    [46] Heikkila E J, 2007. Three questions regarding urbanization in China. Journal of Planning Education and Research, 27(1): 65-81. doi:  10.1177/0739456X07305793
    [47] Ho S P S, Lin G C S, 2003. Emerging land markets in rural and urban China: policies and practices. The China Quarterly, 175: 681-707.
    [48] Ho S P S, Lin G C S, 2004. Construction land use in post-reform China. The China Quarterly, 179: 758-781.
    [49] Huang Q, Li M, Chen Z, Li F, 2011. Land consolidation: an approach for sustainable development in rural China. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment, 40(1): 93-95. doi: 10. 1007/s13280-010-0087-3
    [50] Jenerette G D, Wu J, 2001. Analysis and simulation of land-use change in the central Arizona-Phoenix region, USA. Landscape Ecology, 16: 611-626. doi:  10.1023/A:1013170528551
    [51] Li Jialin, Xu Jiqin, Li Weifan et al., 2007. Spatio-temporal characteristics of urbanization area growth in the Yangtze River Delta. Acta Geographica Sinica, 62(4): 437-447. (in Chinese)
    [52] Li X, Yeh A G O, 2004. Analyzing spatial restructuring of land use patterns in a fast growing region using remote sensing and GIS. Landscape and Urban Planning, 69: 335-354. doi: 10. 1016/j.landurbplan.2003.10.033
    [53] Lin, George C S, 2007. Reproducing spaces of Chinese urbanization: new city-based and land-centred urban transformation. Urban Studies, 44(9): 1827-1855. doi: 10.1080/004209807014 26673
    [54] Liu Jiyuan, Deng Xiangzheng, Liu Mingliang et al., 2002. Study on the spatial patterns of land-use change and analysis of driving forces in Northeast China during 1990-2000. Chinese Geographical Science, 12(4): 299-308. doi: 10.1007/s11769- 002-0033-9
    [55] Long H, Tang G, Li X et al., 2007. Socio-economic driving forces of land-use change in Kunshan, the Yangtze River Delta Economic Area of China. Journal of Environmental Management, 83(3): 351-364. doi:  10.1016/j.jenvman.2006.04.003
    [56] Ministry of Housing and Urban-rural Development of China, 2015. China Urban Construction Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Architecture & Building Press. (in Chinese)
    [57] National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2016. China Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
    [58] Rayner S, 1992. Global environmental change: understanding the human dimensions. Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 34(7): 25-28.
    [59] Richards J F, 1990. Land transformation. In: Turner B L et al. (eds.). The Earth as Transformed by Human Action. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 163-78.
    [60] Seto K C, Kaufmann R K, 2003. Modeling the drivers of urban land use change in the Pearl River Delta, China: integrating remote sensing with socioeconomic data. Land Economics, 79 (1): 106-121. doi:  10.2307/3147108
    [61] Shanghai Statistics Bureau, 1991-2016. Shanghai Statistics Yearbook (1991-2016). Beijing: China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
    [62] Sohl T L, Loveland T R, Sleeter B M et al., 2010. Addressing foundational elements of regional land-use change forecasting. Landscape Ecology, 25(2): 233-247. doi: 10.1007/s10980-009- 9391-3
    [63] Tan M H, Li X B, Xie H et al., 2005. Urban land expansion and arable land loss in China: a case study of Beijing-Tianjin- Hebei region. Land Use Policy, 22: 187-196. doi: 10.1016/j. landusepol.2004.03.003
    [64] Tan S, Heerink N, Qu F, 2006. Land fragmentation and its driving forces in China. Land Use Policy, 23: 272-285. doi: 10.1016/j. landusepol.2004.12.001
    [65] Tian L, 2007. Impacts of public transit on residential property values in the land market of China: evidence from two transport projects in Guangzhou. Journal of Property Research, 23(4): 347-365. doi:  10.1080/09599910601095365
    [66] Tian L, Ma W, 2009. Government intervention in city development of China: a tool of land supply. Land Use Policy, 26: 599-609. doi:  10.1016/j.landusepol.2008.08.012
    [67] Tian L, Zhu J, 2013. Clarification of collective land rights and its impact on construction land use in the Pearl River Delta of China: a case of Shunde. Cities, 2013(35): 190-199. doi: 10. 1016/j.cities.2013.07.003
    [68] Tian L, 2014. Land Values, Property Rights and Urban Development: Betterment and Compensation under the Land Use Rights of China. London: Edward Elgar Publishing. doi: 10. 4337/9781783476404
    [69] Tian L, Ge B, Li Y, 2016. Impacts of state-led and bottom-up urbanization on land use change in the peri-urban areas of Shanghai: Planned growth or uncontrolled sprawl? Cities, 2016(1): 1-11. doi: 10.1016/j.cities.2016.01.002rations for study. International Social Science Journal, 43: 669-679.
    [70] Turner B L II, Moss R H, Skole D L(eds.), 1993. Relating land use and global land-cover change: a proposal for an IGBP- HDP Core Project. A Report from the IGBP/HDP Working Group on Land-Use/Land-Cover Change, 1993. A Study of Global Change and the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change Programme, Stockholm.
    [71] Turner M G, Gardner R H, O'Neill R V, 2001. Landscape Ecology in Theory and Practice. New York: Springer-Verlag.
    [72] Wold S, Sjostrom M, Eriksson L, 2001. PLS regression: a basic tool of chemometrics. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 58(2): 109-130. doi: 10.1016/S0169-7439(01) 00155-1
    [73] Wu C, Lu Z, Yang Z et al., 2009. Quantitative study of dynamic relationship between urbanization and construction land expansion in China. China Land Science, 23(2): 18-23. (in Chinese)
    [74] Wu J, 2007. Landscape Ecology: Pattern, Process, Scale and Hierarchy. (2nd edition). Beijing: Higher Education Press. (in Chinese)
    [75] Wu L X, Sun B, Zhou, S L et al., 2004. A new fusion technique of remote sensing images for land use/cover. Pedosphere, 14: 187-194. doi:  10.1023/B:FRES.0000025298.61906
    [76] Xiao J Y, Shen Y J, Ge J F et al., 2006. Evaluating urban expansion and land use change in Shijiazhuang, China, by using GIS and remote sensing. Landscape and Urban Planning, 75: 69-80. doi:  10.1016/j.landurbplan.2004.12.005
    [77] Xu Jiangang, Liao Banggu, Shen Qing et al., 2007. Urban spatial restructuring in transitional economy-Changing land use pattern in Shanghai. Chinese Geographical Science, 17(1): 19-27. doi:  10.1007/s11769-007-0019-8
    [78] Ye L, Wu A, 2014. Urbanization, land development and land financing: Evidence from Chinese cities. Journal of Urban Affairs, 36(s1): 354-368. doi:  10.1111/juaf.12105
    [79] Zhang Shuiqing, Du Debin, 2001. Analysis on suburbanization model of Shanghai. Areal Research and Development, 20(4): 22-26. (in Chinese)
    [80] Zhou Y, Fischer G, 1999. Cultivated Land-use Change in the East Region of China. IIASA Interim Report IR-99-055, Laxenburg.
    [81]  
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Measuring Spatio-temporal Characteristics of City Expansion and Its Driving Forces in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015

doi: 10.1007/s11769-017-0883-9
  • 1. Department of Urban Planning, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
  • 2. Department of Architecture, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China
Funds:  Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41590844)
    Corresponding author: LI Yongfu.E-mail:li_yf@126.com
  • Received Date: 2016-07-22
  • Rev Recd Date: 2016-10-24
  • Publish Date: 2017-12-27

Abstract: Urbanization has both direct and indirect impacts on land use change, and analyzing spatio-temporal characteristics of land use change is essential for understanding these impacts. By comparing Landsat TM images, this paper examines the changes of land use structure and landscape patterns in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015. It finds that the city doubled in size, with the growth of isolated construction land being most significant among eight land use types. A land use change matrix was established and landscape indices were selected to evaluate the change of spatial structure in Shanghai. In order to identify the main driving forces of city expansion in Shanghai, this research ran partial least square regression models to assess the impact of 10 social-economic factors on land use change of Shanghai from 1990 to 2015. It then conducted bivariate correlation analysis to explore the drivers of change of various land use types:urban settlement, rural settlement and isolated construction land. Besides quantitative analysis, this paper analyzes the influence of policy-dimensional factors in land use change. It concludes with future potential research topics on land use change in a rapidly urbanizing context.

TIAN Li, LI Yongfu, SHAO Lei, ZHANG Yue. Measuring Spatio-temporal Characteristics of City Expansion and Its Driving Forces in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2017, 27(6): 875-890. doi: 10.1007/s11769-017-0883-9
Citation: TIAN Li, LI Yongfu, SHAO Lei, ZHANG Yue. Measuring Spatio-temporal Characteristics of City Expansion and Its Driving Forces in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2017, 27(6): 875-890. doi: 10.1007/s11769-017-0883-9
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