FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA

China is a country in the period of economy takeoff.We cannot use the common method to forecast its future economy level.This paper establishes an economic level forecast model of the countries whose economy is in the take off bacause of the stimulation of model country.The enlightenment of the model is from physics.If there are two substances,A and B,and a medium between them,according to physics,when substance A is hotter than B,B's temperature will inevitably rise and close to that of A.Thus,this system tends to be a s tate of balance.Three factors affec t heat conducation between substance A and B.They a re the difference of temperature between two substances.the conductivity of meduimand the characteristics of th emselves.The model is testified thr ough two examples.And then we foreca st the economic development level of China in long term.This paper raises a model to solve the problem of research approaches.However,sice there are some limitations on data source,problems will appear.For example,in certain years,our forecast results do not suit the real situ ation.But in the long term,the tendecy is accurate.Then this model can be amended in accordance with different situations.