中国地理科学(英文版) ›› 2010, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (3): 281-288.doi: 10.1007/s11769-010-0281-z

• 论文 • 上一篇    

Comprehensive Measurement for Carrying Capacity of Resources and Environment of City Clusters in Central China

FANG Chuanglin1, LIU Xiaoli2   

  1. 1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
    2. The Administration Centre of Urban-Rural Planning, Ministry of House & Urban-Rural Development of P. R. China, Beijing 100835, China
  • 收稿日期:2009-03-26 修回日期:2010-01-07 出版日期:2010-04-01 发布日期:2010-04-23
  • 通讯作者: FANG Chuanglin.E-mail:fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn E-mail:fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • 基金资助:

    Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.40971101);Major Project of 11th Five-Year Scientific and Technological Support Plan of China (No.2006BAJ14B03)

Comprehensive Measurement for Carrying Capacity of Resources and Environment of City Clusters in Central China

FANG Chuanglin1, LIU Xiaoli2   

  1. 1. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
    2. The Administration Centre of Urban-Rural Planning, Ministry of House & Urban-Rural Development of P. R. China, Beijing 100835, China
  • Received:2009-03-26 Revised:2010-01-07 Online:2010-04-01 Published:2010-04-23
  • Supported by:

    Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.40971101);Major Project of 11th Five-Year Scientific and Technological Support Plan of China (No.2006BAJ14B03)

摘要:

Studying the carrying capacity of resources and environment of city clusters in the central China has important practical guidance significance for promoting the healthy, sustainable and stable development of this region. According to their influencing factors and reciprocity mechanism, using system dynamics approaches, this paper built a SD model for measuring the carrying capacity of resources and environment of the city clusters in the central China, and through setting different development models, the comprehensive measurement analysis on the carrying capacity was carried out. The results show that the model of promoting socio-economic development under the protection of resources and environment is the optimal model for promoting the harmony development of resources, environment, society and economy in the city clusters. According to this model, the optimum population scale of the city clusters in 2020 is 42.80×106 persons, and the moderate economic development scale is 22.055×1012 yuan (RMB). In 1996-2020, the carrying capacity of resources and environment in the city clusters took on obvious phase-change characteristics. During the studied period, it is basically at the initial development stage, and will come through the development process from slow development to speedup development.

关键词: carrying capacity of resources and environment, comprehensive measurement, city clusters, central China

Abstract:

Studying the carrying capacity of resources and environment of city clusters in the central China has important practical guidance significance for promoting the healthy, sustainable and stable development of this region. According to their influencing factors and reciprocity mechanism, using system dynamics approaches, this paper built a SD model for measuring the carrying capacity of resources and environment of the city clusters in the central China, and through setting different development models, the comprehensive measurement analysis on the carrying capacity was carried out. The results show that the model of promoting socio-economic development under the protection of resources and environment is the optimal model for promoting the harmony development of resources, environment, society and economy in the city clusters. According to this model, the optimum population scale of the city clusters in 2020 is 42.80×106 persons, and the moderate economic development scale is 22.055×1012 yuan (RMB). In 1996-2020, the carrying capacity of resources and environment in the city clusters took on obvious phase-change characteristics. During the studied period, it is basically at the initial development stage, and will come through the development process from slow development to speedup development.

Key words: carrying capacity of resources and environment, comprehensive measurement, city clusters, central China