Diana Avila-Flores, Marin Pompa-Garcia, Xanat Antonio-Nemiga, Dante A Rodriguez-Trejo, Eduardo Vargas-Perez, Javier Santillan-Perez. Driving Factors for Forest Fire Occurrence in Durango State of Mexico:A Geospatial Perspective[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2010, 20(6): 491-497. doi: 10.1007/s11769-010-0437-x
Citation: Diana Avila-Flores, Marin Pompa-Garcia, Xanat Antonio-Nemiga, Dante A Rodriguez-Trejo, Eduardo Vargas-Perez, Javier Santillan-Perez. Driving Factors for Forest Fire Occurrence in Durango State of Mexico:A Geospatial Perspective[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2010, 20(6): 491-497. doi: 10.1007/s11769-010-0437-x

Driving Factors for Forest Fire Occurrence in Durango State of Mexico:A Geospatial Perspective

doi: 10.1007/s11769-010-0437-x
  • Received Date: 2009-12-07
  • Rev Recd Date: 2010-06-21
  • Publish Date: 2010-11-11
  • Forest fire is one of the major causes of forest loss and therefore one of the main constraints for sustainable forest management worldwide.Identifying the driving factors and understanding the contribution of each factor are essential for the management of forest fire occurrence.The objective of this study is to identify variables that are spatially related to the occurrence and incidence of the forest fire in the State of Durango,Mexico.For this purpose,data from forest fire records for a five-year period were analyzed.The spatial correlations between forest fire occurrence and intensity of land use,susceptibility of vegetation,temperature,precipitation and slope were tested by Geographically Weighted Regression(GWR) method,under an Ordinary Least Square estimator.Results show that the spatial pattern of the forest fire in the study area is closely correlated with the intensity of land use,and land use change is one of the main explanatory variables.In addition,vegetation type and precipitation are also the main driving factors.The fitting model indicates obvious link between the variables.Forest fire was found to be the consequence of a particular combination of the environmental factors,and when these factors coexist with human activities,there is high probability of forest fire occurrence.Mandatory regulation of human activities is a key strategy for forest fire prevention.
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    [5] Castillo S M,Julio A G,Pedernera A P,2002.Design and Implementation of Computational Tools for Preventing and Fighting Forest Fires.Santiago:Forest Fire Laboratory,University of Chile,15.Catry F X,Damasceno P,Silva J S,2007.Spatial distribution patterns of wildfire ignitions in Portugal.Available at:http://www.eufirelab.org/toolbox2/library/upload/2380.pdf,2009-08.
    [6] Charlton M,Fotheringham A S,2009.Geographically Weighted Regression,White Paper.Kildare,Ireland:National Centre for Geocomputation,National University of Ireland Maynooth,17.
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    [8] Federal Agency for Environmental Protection,2009.Durango state,Natural Resources.Available at:http://www.profepa.gob.mx/PROFEPA/DelegacionesPROFEPA/Durango/RecursosNaturales/INSPECCION+FORESTAL.htm.
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    [15] Renteria A J B,2004.Development of models for fuel control in the management of forest ecosystems in Durango.Mexico:University of Nuevo Leon,125.Rodriguez T D A,Ramirez M H,Tchikoue J H,2008.Factors affecting the accident rate of forest fires.Ciencia Forestal en Mexico,33(104):38-57.
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Driving Factors for Forest Fire Occurrence in Durango State of Mexico:A Geospatial Perspective

doi: 10.1007/s11769-010-0437-x

Abstract: Forest fire is one of the major causes of forest loss and therefore one of the main constraints for sustainable forest management worldwide.Identifying the driving factors and understanding the contribution of each factor are essential for the management of forest fire occurrence.The objective of this study is to identify variables that are spatially related to the occurrence and incidence of the forest fire in the State of Durango,Mexico.For this purpose,data from forest fire records for a five-year period were analyzed.The spatial correlations between forest fire occurrence and intensity of land use,susceptibility of vegetation,temperature,precipitation and slope were tested by Geographically Weighted Regression(GWR) method,under an Ordinary Least Square estimator.Results show that the spatial pattern of the forest fire in the study area is closely correlated with the intensity of land use,and land use change is one of the main explanatory variables.In addition,vegetation type and precipitation are also the main driving factors.The fitting model indicates obvious link between the variables.Forest fire was found to be the consequence of a particular combination of the environmental factors,and when these factors coexist with human activities,there is high probability of forest fire occurrence.Mandatory regulation of human activities is a key strategy for forest fire prevention.

Diana Avila-Flores, Marin Pompa-Garcia, Xanat Antonio-Nemiga, Dante A Rodriguez-Trejo, Eduardo Vargas-Perez, Javier Santillan-Perez. Driving Factors for Forest Fire Occurrence in Durango State of Mexico:A Geospatial Perspective[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2010, 20(6): 491-497. doi: 10.1007/s11769-010-0437-x
Citation: Diana Avila-Flores, Marin Pompa-Garcia, Xanat Antonio-Nemiga, Dante A Rodriguez-Trejo, Eduardo Vargas-Perez, Javier Santillan-Perez. Driving Factors for Forest Fire Occurrence in Durango State of Mexico:A Geospatial Perspective[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2010, 20(6): 491-497. doi: 10.1007/s11769-010-0437-x
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