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Data used in this research were derived from a survey of high-level talents in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) megalopolis of China, including Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Foshan, Zhongshan, Dongguan, Zhaoqing, Jiangmen, and Huizhou in Guangdong Province during September 2018 to April 2019. Fig. 1 shows the locations of nine cities.
Figure 1. Locations of Pearl River Delta Megalopolis and the selected cities with different housing prices
These cities were selected for the following reasons. First, as a dynamic world-class urban agglomeration, the PRD megalopolis is the most active region for economic development and technological advancement in China. High levels of urbanization have caused a rapid rise in housing prices. The PRD megalopolis is a representative sample area with geographic differences in housing prices. Second, there are first-tier, second-tier, and third-tier cities within the PRD megalopolis. Significant differences, such as the scale of the floating population, economic aggregates, household registration policies, and housing prices, can result in diversified migration intentions and behaviors. Third, the PRD megalopolis was selected for the research because of its high proportion of nonlocals (Tao et al., 2014). Ultramodern cities, technology-focused industries, welfare policies, and plentiful employment opportunities induce large inflows of migrants, especially high-level talents. As an area with a large number of high-level talents, these cities were well suited for this study.
In addition, according to the average price of commercial houses from 2010 to 2019 (Anjuke, 2019), the nine cities were classified into high-, medium- and low-priced regions. Shenzhen was defined as a high housing price region. The average housing prices in Guangzhou, Zhuhai, and Dongguan were approximately one-third of that in Shenzhen, so they were regarded as medium housing price regions. Moreover, Foshan, Zhongshan, Huizhou, Zhaoqing, and Jiangmen, where the average housing prices were only one-sixth of that in Shenzhen, were defined as low house-price regions.
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This study illustrated the migration intention and destination choice of high-level talents. Migration intention (refers to the intention of high-level talents willing to leave the current city) and migration behavior (refers to the choice of the destination city) were dependent variables. Meanwhile, vital independent variables were divided into push factors, pull factors, and house-price perception. Push and pull factors were defined based on origin and destination cities. The push factors include eight indicators, such as household registration and economic integration. The pull factors include ten indicators, such as wage and expected income. House-price perception includes eleven indicators, such as residential pressure and psychological stress. Table 1 shows examples of the measurements.
Table 1. Examples of variable measurement
Variable Measurement Dependent variable Intention Intention to move (arithmetic average): no intention to migrate (1–2) = 0; have an intention to migrate (3–5) = 1 Behavior The choice of the destination city: high house-price regions = 0; medium house-price regions = 1; low house-price regions = 2 Independent variable Personal characteristic factors Gender Gender of the respondent: male = 1; female = 2 Age Respondent’s age range: under 30 = 1; 31–35 = 2; 36–40 = 3; 41–50 = 4; over 51 = 5 Marriage Marital status: unmarried=1; married=2; divorced and other=3 Working years How many years the respondent has worked after graduation: less than 1 yr = 1; 1–3 yr = 2; 3–5 yr = 3; 5–10 yr = 4; more than 10 yr = 5 The push factors Household registration Relative to the destination city, whether the respondent can get a hukou in the origin city more easily: no = 1; yes = 2 Economic integration Relative to the destination city, the degree of economic integration in the origin city: unable to integrate = 1; hard to integrate = 2; initial integration = 3; greater integration = 4; fully integrated = 5 Social integration Relative to the destination city, the degree of social integration in the origin city: unable to integrate = 1; hard to integrate = 2; initial integration = 3; greater integration = 4; fully integrated = 5 Cultural integration Relative to the destination city, the degree of cultural integration in the origin city: unable to integrate = 1; hard to integrate = 2; initial integration = 3; greater integration = 4; fully integrated = 5 The pull factors Wage Relative to the origin city, annual income (yuan(RMB)) in the destination city: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the higher the wage) Expected income Relative to the origin city, attitude towards achieving expected income in the destination city: very pessimistic = 1;
pessimistic = 2; neutral = 3; optimistic = 4; very optimistic = 5Life convenience Relative to the origin city, the level of infrastructure in the destination city: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the better the infrastructure) Number of relatives and friends Relative to the origin city, the number of relatives/friends in the destination city: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the more the number) Spouse/parents/children work and live locally Relative to the origin city, whether spouse/parents/children can better work or live in the destination city: no = 1; yes = 2 Length of residence Relative to the origin city, the duration of residence in the destination city: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the longer the duration of residence) House-price perception factors Residential pressure Pressure perception of housing expenditure: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the greater the pressure) Psychological stress Psychological pressure caused by housing prices: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the greater the pressure) Satisfaction with the dwelling Satisfaction with dwelling unit: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the greater the satisfaction) Living space Housing area: less than 20 m2 = 1; 20–45 m2 = 2; 45–80 m2 = 3; 80–100 m2 = 4; more than 100 m2 = 5 Number of houses owned Number of home ownership zero = 1; one set = 2; two sets = 3; three sets = 4; more than four sets = 5 -
This research identified six types of high-level talents, including high-level professional talents, outstanding overseas students, academic leaders, innovation and entrepreneurial team leaders, high-level enterprise managers, and outstanding cultural and art practitioners (Cui et al., 2016). The survey was distributed within the relevant industry development forums and alumni platforms by combining multistage cluster sampling and snowball sampling.
The primary sampling units were universities, government, and high-tech enterprises. First, this research selected high-level talents from different industries living in the nine cities of PRD megalopolises for the initial questionnaire distribution. Then, respondents were asked to spread questionnaires to other talents through personal relationships. This process was controlled to ensure that each met the criteria: living in PRD megalopolis. Moreover, based on the local talent population, the minimum sample size was calculated by using the Scheaffer equation (Wang et al., 2017b, 2021). The formula is as follows:
$$ n = {\sigma ^2}\bigg/\left( {{{\left| {\widehat \theta - \theta } \right|}^2}/Z_{\frac{\alpha }{2}}^2 + {\sigma ^2}/N} \right) $$ (1) where n denotes the required sample size,
$\sigma $ denotes the population standard deviation,$ \widehat \theta - \theta $ denotes the error of estimation, Z denotes the value in the truncated$\dfrac{\alpha }{2}$ region of the right tail of the standard normal distribution, N denotes the total talent population size.Finally, 538 questionnaires were collected with 503 valid samples, including 238 samples in high house-price regions, 191 in medium house price regions (with 114 in Guangzhou, 48 in Dongguan, 29 in Zhuhai), and 74 in low house price regions (with 19 in Foshan, 15 in Zhongshan,13 in Huizhou, 14 in Zhaoqing, 13 in Jiangmen). The socio-demographic analysis of the sample is shown in Table 2.
Table 2. Profile of talents in Pearl River Delta Megalopolis
Classification indexes Total High house-price
regionsMedium house-price regions Low house-price
regionsN Percentage / % N Percentage / % N Percentage / % N Percentage / % Gender Male 290 57.65 150 63.03 104 54.45 36 48.65 Female 213 42.35 88 36.97 87 45.55 38 51.35 Age Under 30 252 50.10 136 57.14 87 45.55 29 39.19 31–35 146 29.03 63 26.47 53 27.75 30 40.54 36–40 67 13.32 28 11.76 28 14.66 11 14.86 41–50 29 5.77 8 3.36 17 8.90 4 5.41 Over 51 9 1.79 3 1.26 6 3.14 0 0.00 Marital status Unmarried 217 43.14 112 47.06 78 40.84 27 36.49 Married 279 55.47 125 52.52 108 56.54 46 62.16 Divorced and other 7 1.39 1 0.42 5 2.62 1 1.35 Education Undergraduate 287 57.06 121 50.84 113 59.16 53 71.62 Master 197 39.17 107 44.96 70 36.65 20 27.03 Doctor 19 3.78 10 4.20 8 4.19 1 1.35 Work industry University/Institution 41 8.15 16 6.72 16 8.38 9 12.16 Finance/Insurance 46 9.15 23 9.66 21 10.99 2 2.70 Construction industry 125 24.85 63 26.47 46 24.08 16 21.62 High-tech industry 88 17.50 46 19.33 40 20.94 2 2.70 Government 89 17.69 54 22.69 17 8.90 18 24.32 Others 114 22.66 36 15.13 51 26.70 27 36.49 -
Cronbach’s α coefficient is an effective measure of reliability and internal consistency. The α-value is between 0 and 1. Empirically, an α-value greater than 0.7 represents high reliability. Five independent variables (i.e., the number of family members and migration distance) were removed to reach the reliability requirement, resulting in a total α-value of 0.898. The push factors’ α-value was 0.792, the pull factors’ α-value was 0.820, and the house-price perception’s α-value was 0.834. Structural validity analysis was undertaken to measure the degree of compliance between the survey results and the theory. It is mainly based on factor analysis and evaluated by the Kaiser—Meyer—Olkin (KMO) and Bartlett sphericity tests (Sessler et al., 2002). The results showed that the KMO values were more significant than 0.7, and the significance was 0.000, indicating that the validity was effective.
Regression models were used to investigate the factors affecting migration intention and behaviors. Clustering the variables with high correlation and performing dimensionality reduction before regression, ten independent variables were eliminated, such as education level, career satisfaction, and house-purchase intention. The extracted factors collectively explained 89.26% of the total information, and the cumulative contribution rate reached 85%. Finally, 19 variables were left for further analysis. Since two dependent variables have dual or multiple characteristics, the binary and multiple logistic regression models were introduced to address the determinants of high-level talent migration intention using SPSS 20.
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Fig. 2 shows that nearly half of the high-level talents were willing to migrate. Moreover, as demonstrated in Table 3, the regression model in each region has consistency and significant explanatory power. The results show that factors that impact the migration intention of talents vary significantly across regions. Detailed results and analyses are as follows.
Table 3. Migration intention analysis of talents in Pearl River Delta Megalopolis
Independent variables High house-price regions Medium house-price regions Low house-price regions β SE β SE β SE Personal characteristics Gender –0.287 0.417 –0.761** 0.462 –0.824*** 0.404 Age –0.366 0.379 –0.538* 0.319 0.563 0.106 Marriage –0.303 0.522 –0.109 0.570 –0.359 0.513 Working years –0.352* 0.273 –0.042 0.243 –0.101 0.117 The push factors Household registration –0.155 0.458 –0.735*** 0.530 –0.455 0.583 Economic integration –0.020 0.269 –0.040 0.238 –0.389 0.303 Social integration –0.543** 0.234 –0.071 0.302 –0.402 0.130 Cultural integration –0.292 0.250 0.443 0.281 –0.324 0.251 The pull factors Wage –0.359 0.318 –0.604** 0.292 0.419 0.167 Expected income 0.421* 0.250 –0.309 0.307 –0.629 0.189 Life convenience –0.156 0.214 –0.203 0.237 0.844*** 0.208 Number of relatives & friends –0.099 0.193 0.539** 0.226 0.252 0.155 Spouse/parents work/live locally 0.856*** 0.416 0.530* 0.482 0.364 0.738 Length of residence –0.429 0.266 –0.232 0.252 0.193 0.265 House-price perception Residential pressure 0.080 0.171 0.180 0.185 0.112 0.234 Psychological stress 0.114 0.210 0.779*** 0.259 0.303 0.331 Satisfaction of the dwelling –0.610** 0.232 –0.534** 0.290 –0.103 0.124 Living space –0.158 0.177 0.114 0.214 0.213 0.139 Number of houses owned –0.847*** 0.393 –0.486** 0.309 –0.420 0.451 Constant 1.735 –0.035 1.084 –2 Log likelihood 267.584 210.173 75.473 Pearson χ2 473.154 241.905 302.351 Sig. 0.000 0.000 0.001 Notes: * < 0.10, ** < 0.05, *** < 0.01 (two-tailed test), β refers to the regression coefficient, and SE refers to standard error -
Among personal characteristics, working years (β = –0.352, P < 0.10) strongly correlate with migration intention, indicating that the longer the working years, the lower the willingness to migrate. Longer years of employment in a city mean a more extensive social network and a more stable life, so migration intention declines over time (Garriga et al., 2021). Among the push factors, the degree of social integration influences the flow of talents (β = –0.543, P < 0.05), illustrating that those with a lower sense of social integration are more inclined to migrate. Hence, the roles of ‘traditional thresholds’, such as institutional inclusion and economic integration, are gradually blurred, while social integration becomes a significant ‘booster’. Similar to ordinary workers, talents also require the perception of affiliation and a sense of belonging. Social integration is the psychological cognition and judgment formed by interactions of life, work, and other aspects (Huang, 2022). This study reveals that the purpose of talents is not only to earn money but also to find the ‘meaning of life’.
Among the pull factors, expected income (β = 0.421, P < 0.1) positively correlates with migration intention, revealing that talents with higher expected income are more likely to migrate to destination cities. As a typical ‘rational person’, talents make the most use of their limited resources to maximize utility, so their migration is an essential investment in human capital. This is consistent with the evidence from Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries that economic amenities significantly influence talent mobility (Cleave and Arku, 2020). Moreover, the most significant pull factor is spouse/parents working and living in the destination city (β = 0.856, P < 0.01), indicating that when making migration decisions and destination choices, talents often strike a balance between work and family.
In addition, among house-price perceptions, residential satisfaction is negatively correlated with migration intention (β = –0.610, P < 0.05), indicating that talents with higher residential satisfaction are inclined to stay in the current city. Thus, the impact of mental stress caused by exorbitant housing prices on mobility is more apparent than that of financial burden. High-level talents have relatively sophisticated needs (Zhu et al., 2021), and their focus has shifted from ‘homeownership schemes’ to ‘a nice place to live’ sort of consideration. As high housing prices increase, they have to pay more to maintain the existing living environment or accept the decline in their residential quality to save costs (Zhu et al., 2021). The number of houses owned presents a compelling explanatory power for migration intention (β = –0.847, P < 0.01). According to the welfare accumulation effect (Taima and Asami, 2020), high housing prices can increase the asset value of talents who already own properties, thereby reducing their willingness to migrate.
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In medium house-price regions, among the personal factors, gender (β = –0.761, P < 0.05) and age (β = –0.538, P < 0.10) are related to migration intention. Among the pull factors, talent migration intention decreases with the wage level (β = –0.604, P < 0.01) and increases with the size of social networks (β = 0.539, P < 0.05) in the destination city. Economic interests, such as wages, employment opportunities and career advancement, are the most potent sources for attracting high-level talents. This study reveals that talent migration propensities weigh costs and benefits. Talents pursue better capitalization of human capital and initiate the process of ‘cumulative causation’ (Taima and Asami, 2020). Similar to high housing price regions, parents and spouses working in the locality significantly encourage the settlement intention of talents (β = 0.530, P < 0.10). This finding is consistent with the notion that Chinese people pay more attention to kinship and family concepts (Hu, 2016).
Furthermore, among house-price perceptions, psychological stress (β = 0.779, P < 0.01), satisfaction of the dwelling (β = –0.534, P < 0.05), and the number of houses owned (β = –0.486, P < 0.05) are the decisive factors for talent migration in medium house price regions. Therefore, housing prices are the ‘brand-new challenge’ of high-level talent migration. Previous studies also indicated that high urban housing prices would reduce migration probability, as they directly increase the cost of buying or renting a house (Taima and Asami, 2020). According to the welfare dissipation effect (Cleave and Arku, 2020), high housing prices can bring adverse effects, e.g., higher commodity prices and daily expenses, and living spending is inseparably associated with housing prices. Moreover, high housing prices indirectly influence the cost of living as the sale price of goods increases accordingly (Garriga et al., 2021). These factors bring residential pressure to own or rent a house and psychological stress that may cause anxiety and depression, which push talents out of the city.
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However, the migration intention of talents in low house-price regions is affected by personal characteristics and pull factors. Among personal characteristics, female talents have lower migration intention (β = –0.824, P < 0.01). In China, women, especially unmarried young women, are more motivated to migrate for development and maximize family gains, such as employment outflows and distant marriages. Moreover, only the convenience of life impacts talent migration intention among the pull factors (β = 0.844, P < 0.01). It indicates that urban infrastructure and living conditions are vital for attracting talents in low house-price regions. Perfect public facilities, convenient transportation, good medical and health services, as well as educational facilities are the main concerns for talents in low house-price regions (Garriga et al., 2021). The results also suggest that there is still a big gap between the infrastructure and city-related services in this region and higher house-price regions, which becomes the main bottleneck to attracting talents in low house-price regions.
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As illustrated in Fig. 3, in high house-price regions, most talents with migration intentions preferred to move into low house-price regions. In medium house-price regions, more than half of high-level talents with migration intentions were willing to migrate to low house-price regions. Moreover, in low house-price regions, talents with migration intentions were more willing to move into high house-price regions. Detailed results and analyses are as follows:
Table 4 reveals that talents in high house-price regions are affected by multiple factors when making destination choices. Among the pull factors, wage (β = –1.253, P < 0.05) impacted the choice of destination. Talents pay close attention to the expected income and attach more importance to future development prospects and opportunities with more willingness to stay as ‘futuristic’ in the high house price region. In addition, the results confirm the agglomeration effect of rising housing prices on high-level talents. Hence, although high wages and convenient infrastructures can compensate for high housing prices, if housing prices cause unbearable psychological pressure, talents tend to migrate to less developed cities to seek a comfortable lifestyle. This movement behavior is called ‘converse migration’ or ‘counter-urbanization’ (Taima and Asami, 2020). Psychological stress perceptions caused by housing prices significantly promote the migration of talents in this region (β = –0.690, P < 0.1; β = –1.466, P < 0.10). When talents feel the increasing perceived housing unaffordability, the adverse effects of housing prices appear. Chen et al. (2019) also provided strong evidence of a ‘crowding out effect’ on talents in first-tier cities due to unaffordable housing prices.
Table 4. Analysis results of destination selection in Pearl River Delta Megalopolis
Independent variables High house-price regions Medium house-price regions Low house-price
regionsModel 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Personal characteristics Gender 0.586 –1.337 0.001 –7.903 2.298 10.745 Age 0.395 –3.065* 0.192 –3.519 –3.306 –5.228 Marriage –1.111 –0.645 –0.341 13.011 20.966 –1.398 Working years –1.647** 0.644 –0.234 –1.186 –22.696 4.066 The push factors Household registration –0.608 –1.065 –0.143 1.855 6.705 –3.856 Economic integration –0.496 –1.183 –0.293 –3.182 –5.493 –4.382 Social integration –0.201 –0.883 –0.109 –8.300 –7.872 –7.312 Cultural integration –0.678 –0.945 –0.273 –4.374 –6.492 –6.383 The pull factors Wage –1.253** –0.736 –0.343* 4.352 3.470 –7.733 Expected income –0.585 –0.472 0.131 –8.993 14.767 6.681 Life convenience 0.051 –0.611 –0.268 –3.454 –2.278 –16.624 Number of relatives and friends 0.429 –0.399 –0.038 1.215 –8.901 –13.395 Spouse/parents work and live locally –0.703 –0.326 –0.142 1.880 23.249 –2.747 Length of residence –1.761** –0.790 –1.109* –19.158 –20.134 7.307 House-price perception Residential pressure –0.464 –0.098 –0.102 –6.862 –23.758 –6.757 Psychological stress –0.690* –1.466* –0.286 –6.725 –7.985 –0.210 Satisfaction of the dwelling 0.110 –0.441 0.105 11.343 –6.046 –0.198 Living space –0.066 0.690 –0.108 –6.503 –19.605 –10.282 Number of houses owned 1.906** 1.876 0.363 0.168 34.868 4.587 –2 Log likelihood 174.904 147.834 72.949 Pearson χ2 191.610 97.626 0.000 Sig. 0.000 0.015 1.000 Notes: reference to low housing price regions. Model 1: High housing price regions; Model 2: Medium housing price regions. *< 0.10, **< 0.05, ***< 0.01 (two-tailed test), β refers to the regression coefficient, and SE refers to standard error In medium house-price regions, talent destination selection is only affected by pull factors. Among pull factors, the reinforcing effect of wage (β = –0.343, P < 0.10) on destination selection is similar to high house-price regions. Most existing literature considers economic factors when exploring migration decisions (Wang et al., 2020; Gu, 2021). With the improvement of human capital endowment, the purpose of talents is to find a high-reward job. Economic factors, such as wages, are the core purpose for migrants to fully integrate and settle in cities (Chen and Liu, 2016). Moreover, the length of residence (β = –1.109, P < 0.10) can also influence talent destination selection. The length of residence is the process of individual subjective emotional cognition, which is also the process of ‘resocialization’ in a city (Xu et al., 2022). By establishing social attachment, high-level talents can better acquire resources embedded in social networks. Therefore, the length of residence influences their destination selections.
Leave or Stay? Antecedents of High-level Talent Migration in the Pearl River Delta Megalopolis of China: From a Perspective of Regional Differentials in Housing Prices
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Abstract: Rapid urbanization and population growth have triggered an increase in urban housing demand and rising housing prices, which can influence the migration intention of high-level talents. Much work within the literature has focused more on the migration of the general public. However, antecedents of migration intention and the impact of housing prices on the migration of high-level talents remain unclear. Therefore, based on the push-pull theory, this study investigates the influencing factors of talent migration intention and explores the role of housing prices. This study reveals a complex mechanism underlying migration decisions by using logistic regression models and survey data of high-level talents in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) megalopolis of China. The results indicate that: 1) in high house-price regions, social integration is the primary push factor, and the main factors for retaining talents are the expectation of future work and intimate family relationships; 2) in medium house-price regions, the main factors that attract talents are the current salary level and close family ties; 3) in low house-price regions, living convenience is a determining factor in retaining talents. This study provides a new perspective for talent mobility research and offers valuable inputs for retaining and attracting talents in different economic development regions. Findings are of great significance for formulating talent introduction policies and forming a new pattern of rational spatial docking and effective allocation of human resources.
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Table 1. Examples of variable measurement
Variable Measurement Dependent variable Intention Intention to move (arithmetic average): no intention to migrate (1–2) = 0; have an intention to migrate (3–5) = 1 Behavior The choice of the destination city: high house-price regions = 0; medium house-price regions = 1; low house-price regions = 2 Independent variable Personal characteristic factors Gender Gender of the respondent: male = 1; female = 2 Age Respondent’s age range: under 30 = 1; 31–35 = 2; 36–40 = 3; 41–50 = 4; over 51 = 5 Marriage Marital status: unmarried=1; married=2; divorced and other=3 Working years How many years the respondent has worked after graduation: less than 1 yr = 1; 1–3 yr = 2; 3–5 yr = 3; 5–10 yr = 4; more than 10 yr = 5 The push factors Household registration Relative to the destination city, whether the respondent can get a hukou in the origin city more easily: no = 1; yes = 2 Economic integration Relative to the destination city, the degree of economic integration in the origin city: unable to integrate = 1; hard to integrate = 2; initial integration = 3; greater integration = 4; fully integrated = 5 Social integration Relative to the destination city, the degree of social integration in the origin city: unable to integrate = 1; hard to integrate = 2; initial integration = 3; greater integration = 4; fully integrated = 5 Cultural integration Relative to the destination city, the degree of cultural integration in the origin city: unable to integrate = 1; hard to integrate = 2; initial integration = 3; greater integration = 4; fully integrated = 5 The pull factors Wage Relative to the origin city, annual income (yuan(RMB)) in the destination city: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the higher the wage) Expected income Relative to the origin city, attitude towards achieving expected income in the destination city: very pessimistic = 1;
pessimistic = 2; neutral = 3; optimistic = 4; very optimistic = 5Life convenience Relative to the origin city, the level of infrastructure in the destination city: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the better the infrastructure) Number of relatives and friends Relative to the origin city, the number of relatives/friends in the destination city: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the more the number) Spouse/parents/children work and live locally Relative to the origin city, whether spouse/parents/children can better work or live in the destination city: no = 1; yes = 2 Length of residence Relative to the origin city, the duration of residence in the destination city: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the longer the duration of residence) House-price perception factors Residential pressure Pressure perception of housing expenditure: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the greater the pressure) Psychological stress Psychological pressure caused by housing prices: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the greater the pressure) Satisfaction with the dwelling Satisfaction with dwelling unit: ranges from 1 to 5 (the greater the value, the greater the satisfaction) Living space Housing area: less than 20 m2 = 1; 20–45 m2 = 2; 45–80 m2 = 3; 80–100 m2 = 4; more than 100 m2 = 5 Number of houses owned Number of home ownership zero = 1; one set = 2; two sets = 3; three sets = 4; more than four sets = 5 Table 2. Profile of talents in Pearl River Delta Megalopolis
Classification indexes Total High house-price
regionsMedium house-price regions Low house-price
regionsN Percentage / % N Percentage / % N Percentage / % N Percentage / % Gender Male 290 57.65 150 63.03 104 54.45 36 48.65 Female 213 42.35 88 36.97 87 45.55 38 51.35 Age Under 30 252 50.10 136 57.14 87 45.55 29 39.19 31–35 146 29.03 63 26.47 53 27.75 30 40.54 36–40 67 13.32 28 11.76 28 14.66 11 14.86 41–50 29 5.77 8 3.36 17 8.90 4 5.41 Over 51 9 1.79 3 1.26 6 3.14 0 0.00 Marital status Unmarried 217 43.14 112 47.06 78 40.84 27 36.49 Married 279 55.47 125 52.52 108 56.54 46 62.16 Divorced and other 7 1.39 1 0.42 5 2.62 1 1.35 Education Undergraduate 287 57.06 121 50.84 113 59.16 53 71.62 Master 197 39.17 107 44.96 70 36.65 20 27.03 Doctor 19 3.78 10 4.20 8 4.19 1 1.35 Work industry University/Institution 41 8.15 16 6.72 16 8.38 9 12.16 Finance/Insurance 46 9.15 23 9.66 21 10.99 2 2.70 Construction industry 125 24.85 63 26.47 46 24.08 16 21.62 High-tech industry 88 17.50 46 19.33 40 20.94 2 2.70 Government 89 17.69 54 22.69 17 8.90 18 24.32 Others 114 22.66 36 15.13 51 26.70 27 36.49 Table 3. Migration intention analysis of talents in Pearl River Delta Megalopolis
Independent variables High house-price regions Medium house-price regions Low house-price regions β SE β SE β SE Personal characteristics Gender –0.287 0.417 –0.761** 0.462 –0.824*** 0.404 Age –0.366 0.379 –0.538* 0.319 0.563 0.106 Marriage –0.303 0.522 –0.109 0.570 –0.359 0.513 Working years –0.352* 0.273 –0.042 0.243 –0.101 0.117 The push factors Household registration –0.155 0.458 –0.735*** 0.530 –0.455 0.583 Economic integration –0.020 0.269 –0.040 0.238 –0.389 0.303 Social integration –0.543** 0.234 –0.071 0.302 –0.402 0.130 Cultural integration –0.292 0.250 0.443 0.281 –0.324 0.251 The pull factors Wage –0.359 0.318 –0.604** 0.292 0.419 0.167 Expected income 0.421* 0.250 –0.309 0.307 –0.629 0.189 Life convenience –0.156 0.214 –0.203 0.237 0.844*** 0.208 Number of relatives & friends –0.099 0.193 0.539** 0.226 0.252 0.155 Spouse/parents work/live locally 0.856*** 0.416 0.530* 0.482 0.364 0.738 Length of residence –0.429 0.266 –0.232 0.252 0.193 0.265 House-price perception Residential pressure 0.080 0.171 0.180 0.185 0.112 0.234 Psychological stress 0.114 0.210 0.779*** 0.259 0.303 0.331 Satisfaction of the dwelling –0.610** 0.232 –0.534** 0.290 –0.103 0.124 Living space –0.158 0.177 0.114 0.214 0.213 0.139 Number of houses owned –0.847*** 0.393 –0.486** 0.309 –0.420 0.451 Constant 1.735 –0.035 1.084 –2 Log likelihood 267.584 210.173 75.473 Pearson χ2 473.154 241.905 302.351 Sig. 0.000 0.000 0.001 Notes: * < 0.10, ** < 0.05, *** < 0.01 (two-tailed test), β refers to the regression coefficient, and SE refers to standard error Table 4. Analysis results of destination selection in Pearl River Delta Megalopolis
Independent variables High house-price regions Medium house-price regions Low house-price
regionsModel 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Personal characteristics Gender 0.586 –1.337 0.001 –7.903 2.298 10.745 Age 0.395 –3.065* 0.192 –3.519 –3.306 –5.228 Marriage –1.111 –0.645 –0.341 13.011 20.966 –1.398 Working years –1.647** 0.644 –0.234 –1.186 –22.696 4.066 The push factors Household registration –0.608 –1.065 –0.143 1.855 6.705 –3.856 Economic integration –0.496 –1.183 –0.293 –3.182 –5.493 –4.382 Social integration –0.201 –0.883 –0.109 –8.300 –7.872 –7.312 Cultural integration –0.678 –0.945 –0.273 –4.374 –6.492 –6.383 The pull factors Wage –1.253** –0.736 –0.343* 4.352 3.470 –7.733 Expected income –0.585 –0.472 0.131 –8.993 14.767 6.681 Life convenience 0.051 –0.611 –0.268 –3.454 –2.278 –16.624 Number of relatives and friends 0.429 –0.399 –0.038 1.215 –8.901 –13.395 Spouse/parents work and live locally –0.703 –0.326 –0.142 1.880 23.249 –2.747 Length of residence –1.761** –0.790 –1.109* –19.158 –20.134 7.307 House-price perception Residential pressure –0.464 –0.098 –0.102 –6.862 –23.758 –6.757 Psychological stress –0.690* –1.466* –0.286 –6.725 –7.985 –0.210 Satisfaction of the dwelling 0.110 –0.441 0.105 11.343 –6.046 –0.198 Living space –0.066 0.690 –0.108 –6.503 –19.605 –10.282 Number of houses owned 1.906** 1.876 0.363 0.168 34.868 4.587 –2 Log likelihood 174.904 147.834 72.949 Pearson χ2 191.610 97.626 0.000 Sig. 0.000 0.015 1.000 Notes: reference to low housing price regions. Model 1: High housing price regions; Model 2: Medium housing price regions. *< 0.10, **< 0.05, ***< 0.01 (two-tailed test), β refers to the regression coefficient, and SE refers to standard error -
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