留言板

尊敬的读者、作者、审稿人, 关于本刊的投稿、审稿、编辑和出版的任何问题, 您可以本页添加留言。我们将尽快给您答复。谢谢您的支持!

姓名
邮箱
手机号码
标题
留言内容
验证码

Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan

SU Guandong TOMOZAWA Kazuo OKAHASHI Hidenori CHEN Lin

SU Guandong, TOMOZAWA Kazuo, OKAHASHI Hidenori, CHEN Lin. Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan[J]. 中国地理科学, 2020, 30(6): 1111-1128. doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
引用本文: SU Guandong, TOMOZAWA Kazuo, OKAHASHI Hidenori, CHEN Lin. Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan[J]. 中国地理科学, 2020, 30(6): 1111-1128. doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
SU Guandong, TOMOZAWA Kazuo, OKAHASHI Hidenori, CHEN Lin. Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2020, 30(6): 1111-1128. doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
Citation: SU Guandong, TOMOZAWA Kazuo, OKAHASHI Hidenori, CHEN Lin. Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2020, 30(6): 1111-1128. doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8

Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan

doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
基金项目: 

Under the auspices of Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) (No. 18H00771, 16K16956), part through the Hiroshima University TAOYAKA Program for Creating a Flexible, Enduring, Peaceful Society, funded by the Program for Leading Graduate Schools, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology

详细信息
    通讯作者:

    CHEN Lin.E-mail:chinlin20@gmail.com

Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan

Funds: 

Under the auspices of Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) (No. 18H00771, 16K16956), part through the Hiroshima University TAOYAKA Program for Creating a Flexible, Enduring, Peaceful Society, funded by the Program for Leading Graduate Schools, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology

  • 摘要: Since the 1980s, Japan has witnessed an unprecedented decline in agriculture chiefly due to farmers' aging, depopulation, and unfavorable socio-economic conditions. This development has resulted in an increase of farmland abandonment (FLA) across the country. However, it remains unclear as to how and to what extent FLA is influenced by intraregional agricultural characteristics. As such, this article discusses the issue of FLA by taking a closer look at the Chugoku and Shikoku region, as it has experienced the highest FLA rates in Japan in recent years. For this analysis, a total of 25 indicators retrieved from the census of agriculture and forestry at the former municipalities scale were selected to describe intraregional agricultural characteristics. We employed principal component analysis (PCA) to evaluate agricultural characteristics, while multiple linear regressions (MLR) was applied to explore their correlations with FLA and spatial variations. First, there are strong intraregional differences in the agricultural characteristics across the Chugoku and Shikoku region, with eight different principle components (PCs) describing their characteristics. Second, variables measuring agricultural characteristics explain nearly 52.8% of the variation in FLA in our sample. The sales orientation and scale of agriculture have the strongest negative correlation to FLA in the region, while the status of agricultural succession displays the strongest positive correlation to FLA. Third, in areas where agriculture is more stable and easier to maintain, FLA is more strongly influenced by changes in agricultural characteristics than by geographical variations. We argue that localized approaches and policies for future management need to take intraregional differences in agricultural characteristics and FLA into account. Our findings help to explain spatial variations in agricultural characteristics and FLA in regional contexts, suggesting the need for better-informed farmland use policies to mitigate further abandonment.
  • [1] Abdi H, Williams L J, 2010. Principal component analysis. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews:Computational Statistics, 2(4):433-459. doi: 10.1002/wics.101
    [2] Abolina E, Luzadis V A, 2015. Abandoned agricultural land and its potential for short rotation woody crops in Latvia. Land Use Policy, 49:435-445. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.08.022
    [3] Abson D J, Dougill A J, Stringer L C, 2012. Using Principal Component Analysis for information-rich socio-ecological vulnerability mapping in Southern Africa. Applied Geography, 35(1-2):515-524. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2012.08.004
    [4] Aizaki H, Sato K, Osari H, 2006. Contingent valuation approach in measuring the multifunctionality of agriculture and rural areas in Japan. Paddy and Water Environment, 4(4):217-222. doi: 10.1007/s10333-006-0052-8
    [5] Arimoto Y, 2010. Impact of land readjustment project on farmland use and structural adjustment:the case of Niigata, Japan. In:Agricultural & Applied Economics Association 2010 AAEA, CAES, & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting. Denver, Colorado.
    [6] Caravaggi P, Leardini A, Giacomozzi C, 2016. Multiple linear regression approach for the analysis of the relationships between joints mobility and regional pressure-based parameters in the normal-arched foot. Journal of Biomechanics, 49(14):3485-3491. doi: 10.1016/j.jbiomech.2016.09.019
    [7] Chagas C S, Junior W C, Bhering S B et al, 2016. Spatial prediction of soil surface texture in a semiarid region using random forest and multiple linear regressions. Catena, 139:232-240. doi: 10.1016/j.catena.2016.01.001
    [8] Cocca G, Sturaro E, Gallo L et al., 2012. Is the abandonment of traditional livestock farming systems the main driver of mountain landscape change in Alpine areas? Land Use Policy, 29(4):878-886. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.01.005
    [9] Corbelle-Rico E, Crecente-Maseda R, 2014. Evaluating IRENA indicator ‘Risk of Farmland Abandonment’ on a low spatial scale level:the case of Galicia (Spain). Land Use Policy, 38:9-15. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2013.10.013
    [10] Czyżewski B, Matuszczak A, 2016. A new land rent theory for sustainable agriculture. Land Use Policy, 55:222-229. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.04.002
    [11] Deininger K, Savastano S, Carletto C, 2012. Land fragmentation, cropland abandonment, and land market operation in Albania. World Development, 40(10):2108-2122. doi: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.05.010
    [12] Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2006. The role of agriculture and rural development in revitalizing abandoned/depopulated areas. In:The 34th Session of the European Commission on Agriculture. Riga, Latvia.
    [13] Gellrich M, Baur P, Koch B et al., 2007. Agricultural land abandonment and natural forest re-growth in the Swiss mountains:a spatially explicit economic analysis. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 118(1-4):93-108. doi:10.1016/j.agee. 2006.05.001
    [14] Gellrich, M, Zimmermann N E, 2007. Investigating the regional-scale pattern of agricultural land abandonment in the Swiss mountains:a spatial statistical modelling approach. Landscape and Urban Planning, 79(1):65-76. doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2006.03.004
    [15] Goto T, 2015. Increase in firms' entries into agriculture and their impact on the producing areas in Japan:the case of Oita Prefecture. Annals of the Association of Economic Geographers, 61(1):51-70. doi:10.20592/jaeg.61.1_51 (in Japanese)
    [16] Grədinaru S R, Iojə C I, Onose D A et al., 2015. Land abandonment as a precursor of built-up development at the sprawling periphery of former socialist cities. Ecological Indicators, 57:305-313. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.05.009
    [17] Hisano S, Akitsu M, McGreevy S R, 2018. Revitalising rurality under the neoliberal transformation of agriculture:experiences of re-agrarianisation in Japan. Journal of Rural Studies, 61:290-301. doi: 10.1016/j.jrurstud.2018.01.013
    [18] Ito J, Nishikori M, Toyoshi M et al., 2016. The contribution of land exchange institutions and markets in countering farmland abandonment in Japan. Land Use Policy, 57:582-593. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.06.020
    [19] Ito J, Feuer H N, Kitano S et al., 2019. Assessing the effectiveness of Japan's community-based direct payment scheme for hilly and mountainous areas. Ecological Economics, 160:62-75. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.01.036
    [20] Jentzsch H, 2017. Abandoned land, corporate farming, and farmland banks:a local perspective on the process of deregulating and redistributing farmland in Japan. Contemporary Japan, 29(1):31-46. doi: 10.1080/18692729.2017.1256977
    [21] Kanzaka S, 2009. Discovering Japan:a new regional geography. Tokyo:Teikoku-Shoin.
    [22] Keenleyside C, Tucker G, Key T et al., 2010. Farmland Abandonment in the EU:An Assessment of Trends and Prospects. London:Institute for European Environmental Policy.
    [23] Kolecka N, Kozak J, Kaim D et al., 2017. Understanding farmland abandonment in the Polish Carpathians. Applied Geography, 88:62-72. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.09.002
    [24] Kuemmerle T, Hostert P, Radeloff V C et al., 2008. Cross-border comparison of post-socialist farmland abandonment in the Carpathians. Ecosystems, 11(4):614-628. doi: 10.1007/s10021-008-9146-z
    [25] Kuki Y, Takahashi T, 1997. Analysis of influential factors in abandonment of cultivation using quantification theory type I:studies on prevention of abandonment of cultivation in suburban area (I). Transactions of the Japanese Society of Irrigation, Drainage and Reclamation Engineering, 1997(191):603-613. doi:10.11408/jsidre1965.1997.603 (in Japanese)
    [26] Lasanta T, Arnáez J, Pascual N et al., 2017. Space-time process and drivers of land abandonment in Europe. Catena, 149:810-823. doi: 10.1016/j.catena.2016.02.024
    [27] Levers C, Schneider M, Prishchepov A V et al., 2018. Spatial variation in determinants of agricultural land abandonment in Europe. Science of the Total Environment, 644:95-111. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.06.326
    [28] Li S F, Li X B, 2017. Global understanding of farmland abandonment:a review and prospects. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 27(9):1123-1150. doi: 10.1007/s11442-017-1426-0
    [29] Löw F, Fliemann E, Abdullaev I et al., 2015. Mapping abandoned agricultural land in Kyzyl-Orda, Kazakhstan using satellite remote sensing. Applied Geography, 62:377-390. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.05.009
    [30] MacDonald D, Crabtree J R, Wiesinger G et al., 2000. Agricultural abandonment in mountain areas of Europe:environmental consequences and policy response. Journal of Environmental Management, 59(1):47-69. doi:10.1006/jema. 1999.0335
    [31] Meyfroidt, P., Schierhorn, F., Prishchepov et al, 2016. Drivers, constraints and trade-offs associated with recultivating abandoned cropland in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan. Global Environmental Change, 37:1-15. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha. 2016.01.003
    [32] Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan (MAFF), 2015. FY2014 Annual Report on Food, Agriculture and Rural Areas in Japan. Available at:https://www.maff.go.jp/e/data/publish/attach/pdf/index-38.pdf
    [33] Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan (MAFF), 2016. FY2015 Summary of the Annual Report on Food, Agriculture and Rural Areas in Japan. Retrieved from https://www.maff.go.jp/e/data/publish/attach/pdf/index-57.pdf
    [34] Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan (MAFF), 2018. FY2017 Summary of the Annual Report on Food, Agriculture and Rural Areas in Japan. Retrieved from http://www.maff.go.jp/e/data/publish/attach/pdf/index-93.pdf
    [35] Morimoto T, 1991. The increase of fallow and abandoned cultivated land with the development of intensive agriculture in Hasaki-Machi, Ibaraki Prefecture. Geographical Review of Japan, 64:613-636. doi:10.4157/grj1984a.64.9_613 (in Japanese)
    [36] Morimoto T, 1993. Idle and abandoned farmland in Kashiwai-cho 4-chome, Ichikawa City, Chiba prefecture. Geographical Review of Japan, 66(9):515-539. doi:10.4157/grj1984a.66.9_515 (in Japanese)
    [37] Munroe D K, van Berkel D B, Verburg P H et al., 2013. Alternative trajectories of land abandonment:causes, consequences and research challenges. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5(5):471-476. doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.06.010
    [38] Nihei T, 2006. Regional division of Japanese agriculture in terms of comprehensive indices of farm management:development of a method by means of multivariate analyses and GIS. Studies in Human Geography, 30:69-98. (in Japanese)
    [39] Nishihara M, 2012. Real option valuation of abandoned farmland. Review of Financial Economics, 21(4):188-192. doi: 10.1016/j.rfe.2012.07.002
    [40] Okahashi H, 1986. Rural deprivation in mountainous areas of Japan:a preliminary assessment. Japanese Journal of Human Geography, 38(5):461-479. doi:10.4200/jjhg1948.38.461 (in Japanese)
    [41] Okahashi H, 1996. Development of mountain village studies in postwar Japan:depopulation, peripheralization and village renaissance. Geographical Review of Japan, 69(1):60-69. doi:10.4157/grj1984b.69.60 (in Japanese)
    [42] Osawa T, Kohyama K, Mitsuhashi H, 2013. Areas of increasing agricultural abandonment overlap the distribution of previously common, currently threatened plant species. PLoS One, 8(11):e79978. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0079978
    [43] Osawa T, Kohyama K, Mitsuhashi H, 2016. Multiple factors drive regional agricultural abandonment. Science of the Total Environment, 542:478-483. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv. 2015.10.067
    [44] Parcerisas L, Marull J, Pino J et al., 2012. Land use changes, landscape ecology and their socioeconomic driving forces in the Spanish Mediterranean coast (El Maresme County, 1850-2005). Environmental Science and Policy, 23:120-132. doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2012.08.002
    [45] Patil S, Kokate K, 2017. Identifying factors governing attitude of rural women towards Self-Help Groups using principal component analysis. Journal of Rural Studies, 55:157-167. doi: 10.1016/j.jrurstud.2017.08.003
    [46] Pazúr R, Lieskovský J, Feranec J et al., 2014. Spatial determinants of abandonment of large-scale arable lands and managed grasslands in Slovakia during the periods of post-socialist transition and European Union accession. Applied Geography, 54:118-128. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.07.014
    [47] Plieninger T, Draux H, Fagerholm N et al., 2016. The driving forces of landscape change in Europe:a systematic review of the evidence. Land Use Policy, 57:204-214. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.04.040
    [48] Pointereau P, Coulon F, Girard P et al., 2008. Analysis of the driving forces behind farmland abandonment and the extent and location of agricultural areas that are actually abandoned or are in risk to be abandoned. In:European Communities. Italy:ISPRA.
    [49] Prishchepov A A, Müller D, Dubinin M et al., 2013. Determinants of agricultural land abandonment in post-Soviet European Russia. Land Use Policy, 30(1):873-884. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.06.011
    [50] Ramankutty N, Heller E, Rhemtulla J, 2010. Prevailing myths about agricultural abandonment and forest regrowth in the United States. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 100(3):502-512. doi: 10.1080/00045601003788876
    [51] Rudel T K, Coomes O T, Moran E et al., 2005. Forest transitions:towards a global understanding of land use change. Global Environmental Change, 15(1):23-31. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.11.001
    [52] Ruskule A, Nikodemus O, Kasparinskis R et al., 2013. The perception of abandoned farmland by local people and experts:landscape value and perspectives on future land use. Landscape and Urban Planning, 115:49-61. doi: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2013.03.012
    [53] Sang N, Dramstad W E, Bryn A, 2014. Regionality in Norwegian farmland abandonment:inferences from production data. Applied Geography, 55:238-247. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.09.015
    [54] Schumann F R, 2016. A study of one village one product (OVOP) and workforce development:lessons for engaging rural communities around the world. Japan Institute for Labor Policy and Training.
    [55] Shimizu T, 2017. Present state of Japanese agriculture and future prospect for agricultural structure:detailed picture seen in 2015 Agricultural Census. The Norin Kinyu, 70(9):32-47.
    [56] Shoji G, 2015. Prevention mechanism of farmland abandonment in a mountain village in Nishi-Aizu Town. Quarterly Journal of Geography, 66(4):284-297. doi:10.5190/tga.66.284 (in Japanese)
    [57] Sluiter R, De Jong S M, 2007. Spatial patterns of Mediterranean land abandonment and related land cover transitions. Landscape Ecology, 22(4):559-576. doi: 10.1007/s10980-006-9049-3
    [58] Smaliychuk A, Müller D, Prishchepov A V et al., 2016. Recultivation of abandoned agricultural lands in Ukraine:patterns and drivers. Global Environmental Change, 38:70-81. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.02.009
    [59] Su G D, Okahashi H, Chen L, 2018. Spatial pattern of farmland abandonment in Japan:identification and determinants. Sustainability, 10(10):3676. doi: 10.3390/su10103676
    [60] Tan K C, Lim H S, Jafri M Z M, 2016. Prediction of column ozone concentrations using multiple regression analysis and principal component analysis techniques:a case study in peninsular Malaysia. Atmospheric Pollution Research, 7(3):533-546. doi: 10.1016/j.apr.2016.01.002
    [61] Teffera Z L, Li J H, Debsu T M et al., 2018. Assessing land use and land cover dynamics using composites of spectral indices and principal component analysis:a case study in middle Awash subbasin, Ethiopia. Applied Geography, 96:109-129. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.05.015
    [62] Teratoko Y, 2009. Expansion of abandoned cultivated land and related factors in a marginal hamlet in Minamata, Kumamoto Prefecture. Geographical Review of Japan Series A, 82(6):588-603. doi:10.4157/grj.82.58(in Japanese)
    [63] Terres, J M, Scacchiafichi L N, Wania A et al., 2015. Farmland abandonment in Europe:identification of drivers and indicators, and development of a composite indicator of risk. Land Use Policy, 49:20-34. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2015.06.009
    [64] Uddin M N, Saiful Islam A K M, Bala S K et al., 2019. Mapping of climate vulnerability of the coastal region of Bangladesh using principal component analysis. Applied Geography, 102:47-57. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2018.12.011
    [65] Uematsu Y, Koga T, Mitsuhashi H et al., 2010. Abandonment and intensified use of agricultural land decrease habitats of rare herbs in semi-natural grasslands. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 135(4):304-309. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2009.10.010
    [66] Ustaoglu E, Collier M J, 2018. Farmland abandonment in Europe:an overview of drivers, consequences, and assessment of the sustainability implications. Environmental Reviews, 26(4):396-416. doi: 10.1139/er-2018-0001
    [67] van der Zanden E H, Verburg P H, Schulp C J E et al., 2017. Trade-offs of European agricultural abandonment. Land Use Policy, 62:290-301. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.01.003
    [68] van der Zanden E H, Carvalho-Ribeiro S M, Verburg P H, 2018. Abandonment landscapes:user attitudes, alternative futures and land management in Castro Laboreiro, Portugal. Regional Environmental Change, 18(5):1509-1520. doi: 10.1007/s10113-018-1294-x
    [69] Vinogradovs I, Nikodemus O, Elferts D et al., 2018. Assessment of site-specific drivers of farmland abandonment in mosaic-type landscapes:a case study in Vidzeme, Latvia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 253:113-121. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2017.10.016
    [70] Williams, K J H, Schirmer J, 2012. Understanding the relationship between social change and its impacts:the experience of rural land use change in south-eastern Australia. Journal of Rural Studies, 28(4):538-548. doi: 10.1016/j.jrurstud.2012.05.002
    [71] Xu D D, Deng X, Guo S L et al., 2019. Labor migration and farmland abandonment in rural China:empirical results and policy implications. Journal of Environmental Management, 232:738-750. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.11.136
    [72] Yamaguchi T, Ngodup S, Nose M et al., 2016. Community-scale analysis of the farmland abandonment occurrence process in the mountain region of Ladakh, India. Journal of Land Use Science, 11(4):401-416. doi: 10.1080/1747423X.2016.1174317
    [73] Yamashita R, Hoshino S, 2018. Development of an agent-based model for estimation of agricultural land preservation in rural Japan. Agricultural Systems, 164:264-276. doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2018.05.004
    [74] Zaragozí B, Rabasa A, Rodríguez-Sala J J et al., 2012. Modelling farmland abandonment:a study combining GIS and data mining techniques. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 155:124-132. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2012.03.019
    [75] Zeinalzadeh, K., Rezaei, E, 2017. Determining spatial and temporal changes of surface water quality using principal component analysis. Journal of Hydrology:Regional Studies, 13(8):1-10. doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.07.002
    [76] Zhang Y, Li X B, Song W, 2014. Determinants of cropland abandonment at the parcel, household and village levels in mountain areas of China:a multi-level analysis. Land Use Policy, 41:186-192. doi: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.05.011
    [77] Zhang Y, Li X B, Song W et al., 2016. Land abandonment under rural restructuring in China explained from a cost-benefit perspective. Journal of Rural Studies, 47:524-532. doi: 10.1016/j.jrurstud.2016.06.019
  • [1] Tian TIAN, Yanji MA.  Interactive Effect and Spatial Characteristics of Agricultural Development Level and Transport Superiority Degree in Main Grain-producing Areas of the Central Jilin Province, China . Chinese Geographical Science, 2022, 32(4): 643-664. doi: 10.1007/s11769-022-1291-3
    [2] Ren YANG, Xin ZHANG, Qian XU.  Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Specialized Villages in Guangdong Province, China . Chinese Geographical Science, 2022, 32(6): 1013-1034. doi: 10.1007/s11769-022-1317-x
    [3] Wenwen QIU, Zhangbao ZHONG, Zhaoliang LI.  Agricultural Non-point Source Pollution in China: Evaluation, Convergence Characteristics and Spatial Effects . Chinese Geographical Science, 2021, 31(3): 571-584. doi: 10.1007/s11769-021-1200-1
    [4] YU Han, WANG Xiaodong, CHU Lijuan, WANG Guodong, SUN Guangzhi, SUN Mingyang, WANG Jingyu, JIANG Ming.  Is There Any Correlation Between Landscape Characteristics and Total Nitrogen in Wetlands Receiving Agricultural Drainages? . Chinese Geographical Science, 2019, 20(4): 712-724. doi: 10.1007/s11769-019-1037-8
    [5] SONG Wen, WU Kening, ZHAO Huafu, ZHAO Rui, LI Ting.  Arrangement of High-standard Basic Farmland Construction Based on Village-region Cultivated Land Quality Uniformity . Chinese Geographical Science, 2019, 20(2): 325-340. doi: 10.1007/s11769-018-1011-1
    [6] LI Erling, YAO Fei, XI Jiaxin, GUO Chunyang.  Evolution Characteristics of Government-Industry-University-Research Cooperative Innovation Network for China's Agriculture and Influencing Factors: Illustrated According to Agricultural Patent Case . Chinese Geographical Science, 2018, 28(1): 137-152. doi: 10.1007/s11769-017-0924-4
    [7] ZHANG Shaoliang, JIANG Lili, LIU Xiaobing, ZHANG Xingyi, FU Shicong, DAI Lin.  Soil Nutrient Variance by Slope Position in a Mollisol Farmland Area of Northeast China . Chinese Geographical Science, 2016, 26(4): 508-517. doi: 10.1007/s11769-015-0737-2
    [8] WANG Yang, CHEN Yaning, LI Zhi.  Evolvement Characteristics of Population and Economic Gravity Centers in Tarim River Basin, Uygur Autonomous Region of Xinjiang, China . Chinese Geographical Science, 2013, 23(6): 765-772. doi: 10.1007/s11769-013-0643-4
    [9] LIU Xiaona, ZHANG Weiwei, LI Hong, SUN Danfeng.  Modeling Patch Characteristics of Farmland Loss for Site Assessment in Urban Fringe of Beijing, China . Chinese Geographical Science, 2013, 23(3): 365-377. doi: 10.1007/s11769-013-0600-2
    [10] ZHANG Ying, ZHANG Hongqi, NI Dongying, SONG Wei.  Agricultural Land Use Optimal Allocation System in Developing Area: Application to Yili Watershed, Xinjiang Region . Chinese Geographical Science, 2012, 22(2): 232-244.
    [11] SHI Xiaoliang, LI Ying, DENG Rongxin.  The Method Study of Spatial heterogeneity evaluation on the Landscape Pattern Of Farmland Shelterbelt Network . Chinese Geographical Science, 2011, 21(1): 48-56.
    [12] CHEN Yangfen, LIU Yansui, XU Keshuai.  Characteristics and Mechanism of Agricultural Transformation in Typical Rural Areas of Eastern China:A Case Study of Yucheng City,Shandong Province . Chinese Geographical Science, 2010, 20(6): 545-553. doi: 10.1007/s11769-010-0430-4
    [13] BAO Hai-jun, XU Bao-gen, WU Ci-fang, ZHOU Wang-yue.  FINANCING MODE FOR SUSTAINABLE FARMLAND CONSOLIDATION . Chinese Geographical Science, 2004, 14(4): 304-307.
    [14] AN Kai, XIE Gao-di, LENG Yun-fa, XIAO Yu.  DESIGN OF FARMLAND GIS FOR PRECISION AGRICULTURE . Chinese Geographical Science, 2003, 13(1): 20-24.
    [15] WANG Xue-lei, LIU Xing-tu, HU Wang-bing.  THE SIMULATED STORAGE CAPACITY OF FLOOD AND WATERLOGGING IN THE TYPICAL AGRICULTURAL REGION IN JIANGHAN PLAIN . Chinese Geographical Science, 2001, 11(3): 259-263.
    [16] LI Xin, SONG Yu-dong, NIAN Fu-hua.  CHARACTERISTICS OF WATER TRANSFORMATION AND ITS EFFECTS ON ENVIRONMENT IN THE ARID REGION —A case study in Alar irrigation region of Xinjiang, China . Chinese Geographical Science, 2000, 10(1): 52-60.
    [17] LI Sen, XIA Xun-cheng, XIAO Hong-lang, YANG Gen-sheng.  CHARACTERISTICS, ORIGIN AND EVOLUTION AGES OF AEOLIAN SAND IN THE SAHELIAN REGION OF MALI . Chinese Geographical Science, 2000, 10(2): 159-167.
    [18] 姚建衢, 杨焕宗.  COORDINATING DEVELOPMENT OF AGRICULTURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT OF THE TROPIC REGION IN YUNNAN PROVINCE . Chinese Geographical Science, 1994, 4(4): 345-351.
    [19] 张柏.  THE STRUCTURE AND DYNAMICS OF THE LAND RESOURCES SYSTEM IN THE FARMLAND SHELTER FOREST REGION IN THE NORTHEAST PLAIN . Chinese Geographical Science, 1994, 4(4): 322-332.
    [20] 刘志群, 王荣英.  MODEL OF AGRICULTURAL ECOLOGIC-ECONOMIC SYSTEM IN THE INTERMONTANE BASINS OF XUEFENG MOUNTAIN REGION . Chinese Geographical Science, 1993, 3(1): 61-73.
  • 加载中
计量
  • 文章访问数:  153
  • HTML全文浏览量:  20
  • PDF下载量:  30
  • 被引次数: 0
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2019-10-17

Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan

doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
    基金项目:

    Under the auspices of Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) (No. 18H00771, 16K16956), part through the Hiroshima University TAOYAKA Program for Creating a Flexible, Enduring, Peaceful Society, funded by the Program for Leading Graduate Schools, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology

    通讯作者: CHEN Lin.E-mail:chinlin20@gmail.com

摘要: Since the 1980s, Japan has witnessed an unprecedented decline in agriculture chiefly due to farmers' aging, depopulation, and unfavorable socio-economic conditions. This development has resulted in an increase of farmland abandonment (FLA) across the country. However, it remains unclear as to how and to what extent FLA is influenced by intraregional agricultural characteristics. As such, this article discusses the issue of FLA by taking a closer look at the Chugoku and Shikoku region, as it has experienced the highest FLA rates in Japan in recent years. For this analysis, a total of 25 indicators retrieved from the census of agriculture and forestry at the former municipalities scale were selected to describe intraregional agricultural characteristics. We employed principal component analysis (PCA) to evaluate agricultural characteristics, while multiple linear regressions (MLR) was applied to explore their correlations with FLA and spatial variations. First, there are strong intraregional differences in the agricultural characteristics across the Chugoku and Shikoku region, with eight different principle components (PCs) describing their characteristics. Second, variables measuring agricultural characteristics explain nearly 52.8% of the variation in FLA in our sample. The sales orientation and scale of agriculture have the strongest negative correlation to FLA in the region, while the status of agricultural succession displays the strongest positive correlation to FLA. Third, in areas where agriculture is more stable and easier to maintain, FLA is more strongly influenced by changes in agricultural characteristics than by geographical variations. We argue that localized approaches and policies for future management need to take intraregional differences in agricultural characteristics and FLA into account. Our findings help to explain spatial variations in agricultural characteristics and FLA in regional contexts, suggesting the need for better-informed farmland use policies to mitigate further abandonment.

English Abstract

SU Guandong, TOMOZAWA Kazuo, OKAHASHI Hidenori, CHEN Lin. Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan[J]. 中国地理科学, 2020, 30(6): 1111-1128. doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
引用本文: SU Guandong, TOMOZAWA Kazuo, OKAHASHI Hidenori, CHEN Lin. Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan[J]. 中国地理科学, 2020, 30(6): 1111-1128. doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
SU Guandong, TOMOZAWA Kazuo, OKAHASHI Hidenori, CHEN Lin. Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2020, 30(6): 1111-1128. doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
Citation: SU Guandong, TOMOZAWA Kazuo, OKAHASHI Hidenori, CHEN Lin. Intraregional Agricultural Characteristics Critical in Explaining Farmland Abandonment: Evidence from Chugoku and Shikoku Region of Japan[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2020, 30(6): 1111-1128. doi: 10.1007/s11769-020-1146-8
参考文献 (77)

目录

    /

    返回文章
    返回