From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

SHENG Kerong; FAN Jie; SUN Wei; MA Hailong

doi:10.1007/s11769-015-0750-5

From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

doi: 10.1007/s11769-015-0750-5

1.
Shandong University of Technology, Zibo 255012, China;
2.
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
3.
Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
4.
Beifang University of Nationality, Yinchuan 750021, China

基金项目: Under the auspices of Key Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. KZZD-EW-06-01)

详细信息

通讯作者:
SUN Wei

From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

SHENG Kerong¹,
FAN Jie^2,3,
SUN Wei^{2,3
,},
MA Hailong⁴

1.
Shandong University of Technology, Zibo 255012, China;
2.
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
3.
Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;
4.
Beifang University of Nationality, Yinchuan 750021, China

Funds: Under the auspices of Key Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. KZZD-EW-06-01)

More Information

Corresponding author: SUN Wei

摘要: This paper examines city growth patterns and the corresponding city size distribution evolution over long periods of time using a simple New Economic Geography (NEG) model and urban population data from Canada. The main findings are twofold. First, there is a transition from sequential to parallel growth of cities over long periods of time: city growth shows a sequential mode in the stage of rapid urbanization, i.e., the cities with the best development conditions will take the lead in growth, after which the cities with higher ranks will become the fastest-growing cities; in the late stage of urbanization, city growth converges according to Gibrat's law, and exhibits a parallel growth pattern. Second, city size distribution is found to have persistent structural characteristics: the city system is self-organized into multiple discrete size groups; city growth shows club convergence characteristics, and the cities with similar development conditions eventually converge to a similar size. The results will not only enhance our understanding of urbanization process, but will also provide a timely and clear policy reference for promoting the healthy urbanization of developing countries.
- sequential city growth /
- Gibrta's law /
- finite mixture model /
- convergence club /
- Canada
Abstract: This paper examines city growth patterns and the corresponding city size distribution evolution over long periods of time using a simple New Economic Geography (NEG) model and urban population data from Canada. The main findings are twofold. First, there is a transition from sequential to parallel growth of cities over long periods of time: city growth shows a sequential mode in the stage of rapid urbanization, i.e., the cities with the best development conditions will take the lead in growth, after which the cities with higher ranks will become the fastest-growing cities; in the late stage of urbanization, city growth converges according to Gibrat's law, and exhibits a parallel growth pattern. Second, city size distribution is found to have persistent structural characteristics: the city system is self-organized into multiple discrete size groups; city growth shows club convergence characteristics, and the cities with similar development conditions eventually converge to a similar size. The results will not only enhance our understanding of urbanization process, but will also provide a timely and clear policy reference for promoting the healthy urbanization of developing countries.
- sequential city growth /
- Gibrta's law /
- finite mixture model /
- convergence club /
- Canada

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From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

doi: 10.1007/s11769-015-0750-5

通讯作者:
SUN Wei

From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

Corresponding author: SUN Wei

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From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

doi: 10.1007/s11769-015-0750-5

通讯作者: SUN Wei

English Abstract

From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

Corresponding author: SUN Wei

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From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

doi: 10.1007/s11769-015-0750-5

通讯作者: SUN Wei

From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

Corresponding author: SUN Wei

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From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

doi: 10.1007/s11769-015-0750-5

通讯作者: SUN Wei

English Abstract

From Sequential to Parallel Growth of Cities: Theory and Evidence from Canada

Corresponding author: SUN Wei

全文HTML

目录

通讯作者:
SUN Wei