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Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries

LI Guoping YUAN Yuan

LI Guoping, YUAN Yuan. Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries[J]. 中国地理科学, 2014, (5): 499-510. doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
引用本文: LI Guoping, YUAN Yuan. Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries[J]. 中国地理科学, 2014, (5): 499-510. doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
LI Guoping, YUAN Yuan. Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2014, (5): 499-510. doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
Citation: LI Guoping, YUAN Yuan. Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2014, (5): 499-510. doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5

Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries

doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
基金项目: Under the auspices of Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (No. 2012CB955802), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41171099), Strategy of Public Participation of Low Carbon Development in China (No. 201315)
详细信息
    通讯作者:

    LI Guoping

Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries

Funds: Under the auspices of Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (No. 2012CB955802), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41171099), Strategy of Public Participation of Low Carbon Development in China (No. 201315)
More Information
    Corresponding author: LI Guoping
  • 摘要: Global warming is recently an urgent issue worldwide. The increase of carbon emissions induced by human economic activities has become a major driving force behind global climate change. Thus, as a matter of social responsibility, reasonable carbon constraints should be implemented to ensure environmental security and sustainable development for every country. Based on a summary of studies that examined the relationship between carbon emissions and regional development, this paper shows that human activity-led carbon emission is caused by the combination of several influencing factors, including population size, income level, and technical progress. Thus, a quantitative model derived from IPAT-ImPACT-Kaya series and STIRPAT models was established. Empirical analysis using multivariate nonlinear regression demonstrated that the origins of growing global carbon emission included the increasing influencing elasticity of the population size and the declining negative effect of technical progress. Meanwhile, in context of classification of country groups at different income levels, according to the comparison of fluctuating patterns of the influencing elasticity, technical progress was found as the main factor influencing carbon emission levels in high-income countries, and population size might be the controlling factor in middle-income countries. However, for low-income countries, the nonlinear relationship between carbon emission and its influencing factors was not significant, whereas population growth was identified as an important potential driving force in future carbon emissions. This study can therefore provide a reference for the formulation of policies on carbon constraints, especially to develop more efficient carbon mitigating policies for countries at different income levels.
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  • 收稿日期:  2013-07-30
  • 修回日期:  2013-10-28
  • 刊出日期:  2014-07-27

Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries

doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
    基金项目:  Under the auspices of Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (No. 2012CB955802), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41171099), Strategy of Public Participation of Low Carbon Development in China (No. 201315)
    通讯作者: LI Guoping

摘要: Global warming is recently an urgent issue worldwide. The increase of carbon emissions induced by human economic activities has become a major driving force behind global climate change. Thus, as a matter of social responsibility, reasonable carbon constraints should be implemented to ensure environmental security and sustainable development for every country. Based on a summary of studies that examined the relationship between carbon emissions and regional development, this paper shows that human activity-led carbon emission is caused by the combination of several influencing factors, including population size, income level, and technical progress. Thus, a quantitative model derived from IPAT-ImPACT-Kaya series and STIRPAT models was established. Empirical analysis using multivariate nonlinear regression demonstrated that the origins of growing global carbon emission included the increasing influencing elasticity of the population size and the declining negative effect of technical progress. Meanwhile, in context of classification of country groups at different income levels, according to the comparison of fluctuating patterns of the influencing elasticity, technical progress was found as the main factor influencing carbon emission levels in high-income countries, and population size might be the controlling factor in middle-income countries. However, for low-income countries, the nonlinear relationship between carbon emission and its influencing factors was not significant, whereas population growth was identified as an important potential driving force in future carbon emissions. This study can therefore provide a reference for the formulation of policies on carbon constraints, especially to develop more efficient carbon mitigating policies for countries at different income levels.

English Abstract

LI Guoping, YUAN Yuan. Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries[J]. 中国地理科学, 2014, (5): 499-510. doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
引用本文: LI Guoping, YUAN Yuan. Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries[J]. 中国地理科学, 2014, (5): 499-510. doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
LI Guoping, YUAN Yuan. Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2014, (5): 499-510. doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
Citation: LI Guoping, YUAN Yuan. Impact of Regional Development on Carbon Emission:Empirical Evidence Across Countries[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2014, (5): 499-510. doi: 10.1007/s11769-014-0710-5
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