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[34] Piao S L, Wang X H, Ciais P et al., 2011. Changes in satellite-derived vegetation growth trend in temperate and boreal Eurasia from 1982 to 2006. Global Change Biology, 17(10):3228-3239. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02419.x
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[40] Xiao Y, Xiao Q, Ouyang Z Y et al., 2015. Assessing changes in water flow regulation in Chongqing region, China. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 187(6):362. doi: 10.1007/s10661-015-4370-4
[41] Xu K, Yang D W, Yang H B et al., 2015. Spatio-temporal variation of drought in China during 1961-2012:A climatic perspective. Journal of Hydrology, 526:253-264. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.047
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[43] Zhang C Q, Li W H, Zhang B et al., 2012. Water yield of Xitiaoxi River Basin based on InVEST modeling. Journal of Resources & Ecology, 3(1):050-054. doi:10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x. 2012.01.008
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[45] Zhang L, Dawes W R, Walker G R, 2001. Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetationchanges at catchment scale. Water Resources Research, 37(3):701-708. doi: 10.1029/2000WR900325
[46] Zhao Renjun, 1984. Hydrological Simulation for Basin-Xinanjiang Model and Shanbei Model. Beijing:China Water Power Press. (in Chinese)
[47] Zhao Tongqian, 2004. Research on China Terrestrial Ecosystem Services and Their Valuation. Beijing:Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences. (in Chinese)
[48] Zheng H, Li Y F, Robinson B E et al., 2016. Using ecosystem service trade-offs to inform water conservation policies and management practices. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(10):527-532. doi:10.1002/fee.1432nt against Landsat imagery.Remote Sensing of Environment, 115(10):2547-2563.doi:10.1016/j.rse.2011.05.012
[49] Brown L R, 1995.Who Will Feed China? Wake-up Call for a Small Planet.London:Earthscan Publications.
[50] Cao S X, 2011.Impact of China's large-scale ecological restoration program on the environment and society in arid and semiarid areas of China:achievements, problems, synthesis, and applications.Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology, 41(4):317-335.doi:10.1080/1064338090 2800034
[51] Chen L, Xie G D, Zhang C S et al., 2011.Modelling ecosystem water supply services across the Lancang River Basin.Journal of Resources and Ecology, 2(4):322-327.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-764x.2011.04.005
[52] Cheng H, Hu Y, Zhao J, 2009.Meeting China's water shortage crisis:current practices and challenges.Environmental Science & Technology, 43(2):240-4.doi: 10.1021/es801934a
[53] Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2007.China Sustainable Development Strategy Report 2007-Water:Governance and Innovation.Beijing:Science Press. (in Chinese)
[54] Crawford N H, Linsley R K, 1966.Digital simulation in hydrology, Stanford Watershed Model IV.Technical Report 39, Dept of Civil Engineering.Stanford:Stanford University.
[55] Fan Jie, 2014.Influence of MRP and WRP of South-to-North Water Diversion on water resources in water source areas and countermeasures.Yangtz River, 45(7):23-26. (in Chinese)
[56] Gao Y, Zhu X J, Yu G R et al., 2014.Water use efficiency threshold for terrestrial ecosystem carbon sequestration under afforestation in China.Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 195-196(198):32-37.doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2014.04.010
[57] Gao Y, Hao Z, Yang T et al., 2017.Effects of atmospheric reactive phosphorus deposition on phosphorus transport in a subtropical watershed:A Chinese case study.Environmental Pollution, 226:69-78.doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2017.03.067
[58] Goldstein J H, Caldarone G, Colvin C et al., 2010.TEEB case:Integrating ecosystem services into land-use planning in Hawaii, USA.available at:www.TEEBweb.org.
[59] Gong W, Xu D R, Caine E D, 2016.Challenges arising from China's two-child policy.Lancet, 387(10025):1274-1274.doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30020-4
[60] Hagemann S, Chen C, Clark D B et al., 2013.Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models.Earth System Dynamics, 4(1):129-144.doi: 10.5194/esd-4-129-2013
[61] Hanjra M A, Qureshi M E, 2010.Global water crisis and future food security in an era of climate change.Food Policy, 35(5):365-377.doi: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2010.05.006
[62] Hartanto H, Prabhu R, Widayat A S E et al., 2003.Factors affecting runoff and soil erosion:plot-level soil loss monitoring for assessing sustainability of forest management.Forest Ecology & Management, 180(1):361-374.doi: 10.1016/S0378-1127(02)00656-4
[63] Hutchinson M F, Dan M K, Lawrence K et al., 2009.Development and testing of Canada-wide interpolated spatial models of daily minimum-maximum temperature and precipitation for 1961-2003.Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 48(4):725-741.doi: 10.1175/2008JAMC1979.1
[64] Ivey J L, Smithers J, de Loë R C et al., 2004.Community capacity for adaptation to climate-induced water shortages:linking institutional complexity and local actors.Environmental Management, 33(1):36-47.doi:10.1007/s 00267-003-0014-5
[65] Jiang C, Wang F, Zhang H et al., 2016.Quantifying changes in multiple ecosystem services during 2000-2012 on the loess plateau, China, as a result of climate variability and ecological restoration.Ecological Engineering, 97:258-271.doi: 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2016.10.030
[66] Jiang Y, 2015.China's water security:Current status, emerging challenges and future prospects.Environmental Science & Policy, 54:106-125.doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2015.06.006
[67] Johnson F, Hutchinson M F, The C et al., 2016.Topographic relationships for design rainfalls over Australia.Journal of Hydrology, 533:439-451.doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.12.035
[68] Kareiva P, Tallis H, Ricketts T H et al., 2011.Natural Capital:Theory and Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services.New York:Oxford Univ Press.
[69] Leavesley G H, Lichty R W, Troutman B M et al., 1983.Precipitation runoff modeling system:user's manual.Landolt-Börnstein-Group Ⅱ Molecules and Radicals, 4(4):206-207.
[70] Liu J G, Yang W, 2012.Water Sustainability for China and Beyond.Science, 337(6095):649-650.doi: 10.1126/science.1219471
[71] Mandle L, Tallis H, Sotomayor L et al., 2015.Who loses? Tracking ecosystem service redistribution from road development and mitigation in the Peruvian Amazon.Frontiers in Ecology & the Environment, 13(6):309-315.doi: 10.1890/140337
[72] McCabe G J, Wolock D M, 2007.Warming may create substantial water supply shortages in the Colorado River basin.Geophysical Research Letters, 34(22):60-64.doi: 10.1029/2007GL031764
[73] Miao C Y, Borthwick A G L, Liu H H et al., 2015.China's policy on dams at the crossroads:removal or further construction.Water, 7:2349-2357.doi: 10.3390/w7052349
[74] Millennium Assessment (MA), 2005.Millennium Ecosystem Assessment-Ecosystems and Human Wellbeing:General Synthesis.Washington, DC:Island Press.
[75] Monteith J L, 1965.Evaporation and environment.Symposium of the Society of Experimental Biology, 19:205-224.PMID 5321565.
[76] Mu Q, Zhao M, Running S W, 2011.Improvements to a MODIS global terrestrial evapotranspiration algorithm.Remote Sensing of Environment, 115:1781-1800.doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2011.02.019
[77] Ouyang Z Y, Zheng H, Xiao Y et al., 2016.Improvements in ecosystem services from investments in natural capital.Science, 352(6292):1455-1459.doi: 10.1126/science.aaf2295
[78] Piao S L, Wang X H, Ciais P et al., 2011.Changes in satellite-derived vegetation growth trend in temperate and boreal Eurasia from 1982 to 2006.Global Change Biology, 17(10):3228-3239.doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02419.x
[79] Rao E M, Ouyang Z Y, Yu X X et al., 2014.Spatial patterns and impacts of soil conservation service in China.Geomorphology, 207(3):64-70.doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2013.10.027
[80] State Water Agency, 2000-2015.China Water Resources Bulletin.Beijing:China Water Power Press. (in Chinese)
[81] Tallis H T, Ricketts T, Nelson E et al., 2010.InVEST 1.005 Beta User's Guide.The Natural Capital Project.Stanford:Washington DC.
[82] Wang F, 2014.What will happen if China adopts a two-child policy? New Scientist, 221(2961):26-27.doi: 10.1016/S0262-4079(14)60581-9
[83] Wang S, Zhang Z, 2011.Effects of climate change on water resources in China.Climate Research, 47(1):77-82.doi: 10.3354/cr00965
[84] Xiao Y, Xiao Q, Ouyang Z Y et al., 2015.Assessing changes in water flow regulation in Chongqing region, China.Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 187(6):362.doi: 10.1007/s10661-015-4370-4
[85] Xu K, Yang D W, Yang H B et al., 2015.Spatio-temporal variation of drought in China during 1961-2012:A climatic perspective.Journal of Hydrology, 526:253-264.doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.047
[86] Yu G, Yang Y, Tu Z et al., 2016.Modeling the water-satisfied degree for production of the main food crops in china.Science of the Total Environment, 547:215-225.doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.12.105
[87] Zhang C Q, Li W H, Zhang B et al., 2012.Water yield of Xitiaoxi River Basin based on InVEST modeling.Journal of Resources & Ecology, 3(1):050-054.doi: 10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2012.01.008
[88] Zhang P, Shao G, Zhao G et al., 2000.China's forest policy for the 21st century.Science, 288(5474):2135-2136.doi: 10.1126/science.288.5474.2135
[89] Zhang L, Dawes W R, Walker G R, 2001.Response of mean annual evapotranspiration to vegetationchanges at catchment scale.Water Resources Research, 37(3):701-708.doi: 10.1029/2000WR900325
[90] Zhao Renjun, 1984.Hydrological Simulation for Basin-Xinanjiang Model and Shanbei Model.Beijing:China Water Power Press. (in Chinese)
[91] Zhao Tongqian, 2004.Research on China Terrestrial Ecosystem Services and Their Valuation.Beijing:Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences. (in Chinese)
[92] Zheng H, Li Y F, Robinson B E et al., 2016.Using ecosystem service trade-offs to inform water conservation policies and management practices.Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 14(10):527-532.doi: 10.1002/fee.1432
[93]