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MENG Lihong, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, ZHAO Ruifeng. Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2009, 19(1): 89-95. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0089-x
Citation: MENG Lihong, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, ZHAO Ruifeng. Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2009, 19(1): 89-95. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0089-x
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Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China

doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0089-x
  • 1.

    Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology and Desert Environment, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China;

  • 2.

    Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

Funds:  Under the auspices of Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. KZCX2-YW-127);National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 40671014, 90502007)
  • Received Date: 2008-06-18
  • Rev Recd Date: 2008-11-25
  • Publish Date: 2009-03-20
  • This paper explores the method of comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity and sets up an evaluation model applying the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Based on the data of nature,society,economics and water resources of the Tarim River Basin in 2002,we evaluated the water resources carrying capacity of the basin by means of the model. The results show that the comprehensive grades are 0.438 and 0.454 for Aksu and Kashi prefectures respectively,where the current water resources exploitation and utilization has reached a relative high degree and there is only a very limited water carrying capacity,0.620 for Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture,where water resources carrying capacity is much higher,and in between for Hotan Prefecture and Bayingolin Mongo-lian Autonomous Prefecture. As a whole,the comprehensive grade of the Tarim River Basin is 0.508 and the current water resources exploitation and utilization has reached a relative high degree. Thus,we suggest that the integrated management of the water resources in the basin should be strengthened in order to utilize water resources scientifically and sustainably.
  • [1] Chen Yaning,Xu Zongxue,2004.The possible influence of global climate change to the water resources of Tarim River in Xinjiang.Science in China (D),34(11):1047-1053.(in Chinese)
    [2] Chen Yaning,Zhang Xiaolei,Zhu Xiangmin et al.,2004.Analysis on the ecological benefits of the stream water conveyance to the dried-up river of the lower reaches of Tarim River,China.Science in China (D),47(11):1053-1064.
    [3] Chen Yaning,Zilliacus H,Li Weihong et al.,2006.Ground-water level affects plant species diversity along the lower reaches of the Tarim River,Western China.Journal of Arid Environments,66(2):231-246.
    [4] Falkenmark M,Lundqvist J,1998.Towards water security:political determination and human adaptation crucial.Nature Resources Forum,21 (1):37-51.
    [5] Harris Jonathan M,1999.Carrying capacity in agriculture:Globe and regional issue.Ecological Economics,129(3):443-461.
    [6] Huang Yongji,Ma Dianzhen,1990.Analytic Method of Regional Water Resources Supply and Demand.Nanjiang:Hohai University Press.(in Chinese)
    [7] Li Lijuan,Guo Huaicheng,Chen Bing et al.,2000.Water resource supporting capacity of Chaidamu Basin.Environmental Sciences,21(2):20-23.(in Chinese)
    [8] Ma Jinzhu,2000.The groundwater evolution and its influence on the,fragile ecology in the south Edge of Tarim Basin.Journal of Desert Research,20(2):145-149.
    [9] Ma Jinzhu,Gao Qianzhao,1997.Water resources system and eco-environmental problems in the inland river basin of arid northwest China.Journal of Land Resources and Environment,11(4):15-21.(in Chinese)
    [10] Mao Xiaohui,2001.Study on sustainable utilization strategy of water resources in Tarim River Basin.Arid Land Geography,24(2):136-140.(in Chinese)
    [11] Miloradov R M,Cukic Z,1995.Water resources assessment as the basic tool for sustainable and environmentally sound river basin management.Water Science and Technology,32(5-6):45-53.
    [12] Min Qingwen,Yu Weidong,Zhang Jianxin,2004.Fuzzy-based evaluation of water resources carrying capacity and its application.Research of Soil and Water Conservation,11(3):14-16.(in Chinese)
    [13] Qin Fen,Zhang Xiwang,Liu Jianfeng,2000.Comprehensive evaluation of the water resources carrying capacity based on fuzzy analysis method.Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering,17(1):1-6.(in Chinese)
    [14] Rijiberman J,2000.Different approaches to assessment of design management of sustainable urban water system.Environment Impact Assessment Review,129(3):333-345.
    [15] Shi Yafeng,Qu Yaoguang,1992.The Water Resources Carrying Capacity and Rational Utilization of Urumqi River Basin.Beijing:Science Press.(in Chinese)
    [16] Song Yudong,1999.Research on Water Resources and Ecology of Tarim River,China.Urumqi:Xinjiang People's Press.(in Chinese)
    [17] Wang Jiaji,Yao Xiaohong,2000.Assessment for ecological carrying capacity of Heihe River Basin.Research of Environmental Sciences,13(2):44-48.(in Chinese)
    [18] Wang Xuequan,Lu Qi,Li Baoguo,2005.Fuzzy comprehensive assessment for carrying capacity of water resources in Qinhai Province.Journal of Desert Research,25(6):944-949.(in Chinese)
    [19] Xinjiang Statistal Bureau,2005.Xinjiang Statistical Yearbook 1995-2005.Beijing:China Statistics Press.(in Chinese)
    [20] Xu Jianhua,Chen Yaning,Li Weihong et al.,2008.Long-term trend and fractal of annual runoff process in mainstream of Tarim River.Chinese Geographical Science,18(1):77-84.DOI: 10.1007/s11769-008-0077-6
    [21] Xu Youpeng,1993.A study of comprehensive evaluation of the water resources carrying capacity in the arid area-A case study in the Hotan River Basin of Xinjiang.Journal of Natural Resources,8(3):230-234.(in Chinese)
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Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China

doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0089-x
  • 1. Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology and Desert Environment, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China;
  • 2. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
Funds:  Under the auspices of Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. KZCX2-YW-127);National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 40671014, 90502007)
  • Received Date: 2008-06-18
  • Rev Recd Date: 2008-11-25
  • Publish Date: 2009-03-20

Abstract: This paper explores the method of comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity and sets up an evaluation model applying the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Based on the data of nature,society,economics and water resources of the Tarim River Basin in 2002,we evaluated the water resources carrying capacity of the basin by means of the model. The results show that the comprehensive grades are 0.438 and 0.454 for Aksu and Kashi prefectures respectively,where the current water resources exploitation and utilization has reached a relative high degree and there is only a very limited water carrying capacity,0.620 for Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture,where water resources carrying capacity is much higher,and in between for Hotan Prefecture and Bayingolin Mongo-lian Autonomous Prefecture. As a whole,the comprehensive grade of the Tarim River Basin is 0.508 and the current water resources exploitation and utilization has reached a relative high degree. Thus,we suggest that the integrated management of the water resources in the basin should be strengthened in order to utilize water resources scientifically and sustainably.

MENG Lihong, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, ZHAO Ruifeng. Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2009, 19(1): 89-95. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0089-x
Citation: MENG Lihong, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, ZHAO Ruifeng. Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Tarim River Basin, Xinjiang, China[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2009, 19(1): 89-95. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0089-x
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