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Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006

XU Jianhua CHEN Yaning LI Weihong JI Minhe DONG Shan HONG Yulian

XU Jianhua, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, JI Minhe, DONG Shan, HONG Yulian. Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006[J]. 中国地理科学, 2009, 19(4): 306-313. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
引用本文: XU Jianhua, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, JI Minhe, DONG Shan, HONG Yulian. Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006[J]. 中国地理科学, 2009, 19(4): 306-313. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
XU Jianhua, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, JI Minhe, DONG Shan, HONG Yulian. Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2009, 19(4): 306-313. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
Citation: XU Jianhua, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, JI Minhe, DONG Shan, HONG Yulian. Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2009, 19(4): 306-313. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7

Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006

doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
基金项目: Under the auspices of the Second-stage Knowledge Innovation Programs of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No.KZCX2-XB2-03,KZCX2-YW-127);National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.40671014);Shanghai Academic Discipline Project (Human Geography) (No.B410)
详细信息
    通讯作者:

    XU Jianhua.E-mail:jhxu@geo.ecnu.edu.cn

Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006

Funds: Under the auspices of the Second-stage Knowledge Innovation Programs of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No.KZCX2-XB2-03,KZCX2-YW-127);National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.40671014);Shanghai Academic Discipline Project (Human Geography) (No.B410)
  • 摘要: Using wavelet analysis,regression analysis and the Mann-Kendall test,this paper analyzed time-series(1959-2006) weather data from 23 meteorological stations in an attempt to characterize the climate change in the Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,China.Major findings are as follows:1) In the 48-year study period,average annual temperature,annual precipitation and average annual relative humidity all presented nonlinear trends.2) At the 16-year time scale,all three climate indices unanimously showed a rather flat before 1964 and a detectable pickup thereafter.At the 8-year time scale,an S-shaped nonlinear and uprising trend was revealed with slight fluctuations in the entire process for all three indices.Incidentally,they all showed similar pattern of a slight increase before 1980 and a noticeable up-swing afterwards.The 4-year time scale provided a highly fluctuating pattern of periodical oscillations and spiral increases.3) Average annual relative humidity presented a negative correlation with average annual temperature and a positive correlation with annual precipitation at each time scale,which revealed a close dynamic relationship among them at the confidence level of 0.001.4) The Mann-Kendall test at the 0.05 confidence level demonstrated that the climate warming trend,as represented by the rising average annual temperature,was remarkable,but the climate wetting trend,as indicated by the rising annual precipitation and average annual relative humidity,was not obvious.
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Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006

doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
    基金项目:  Under the auspices of the Second-stage Knowledge Innovation Programs of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No.KZCX2-XB2-03,KZCX2-YW-127);National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.40671014);Shanghai Academic Discipline Project (Human Geography) (No.B410)
    通讯作者: XU Jianhua.E-mail:jhxu@geo.ecnu.edu.cn

摘要: Using wavelet analysis,regression analysis and the Mann-Kendall test,this paper analyzed time-series(1959-2006) weather data from 23 meteorological stations in an attempt to characterize the climate change in the Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,China.Major findings are as follows:1) In the 48-year study period,average annual temperature,annual precipitation and average annual relative humidity all presented nonlinear trends.2) At the 16-year time scale,all three climate indices unanimously showed a rather flat before 1964 and a detectable pickup thereafter.At the 8-year time scale,an S-shaped nonlinear and uprising trend was revealed with slight fluctuations in the entire process for all three indices.Incidentally,they all showed similar pattern of a slight increase before 1980 and a noticeable up-swing afterwards.The 4-year time scale provided a highly fluctuating pattern of periodical oscillations and spiral increases.3) Average annual relative humidity presented a negative correlation with average annual temperature and a positive correlation with annual precipitation at each time scale,which revealed a close dynamic relationship among them at the confidence level of 0.001.4) The Mann-Kendall test at the 0.05 confidence level demonstrated that the climate warming trend,as represented by the rising average annual temperature,was remarkable,but the climate wetting trend,as indicated by the rising annual precipitation and average annual relative humidity,was not obvious.

English Abstract

XU Jianhua, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, JI Minhe, DONG Shan, HONG Yulian. Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006[J]. 中国地理科学, 2009, 19(4): 306-313. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
引用本文: XU Jianhua, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, JI Minhe, DONG Shan, HONG Yulian. Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006[J]. 中国地理科学, 2009, 19(4): 306-313. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
XU Jianhua, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, JI Minhe, DONG Shan, HONG Yulian. Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2009, 19(4): 306-313. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
Citation: XU Jianhua, CHEN Yaning, LI Weihong, JI Minhe, DONG Shan, HONG Yulian. Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2009, 19(4): 306-313. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0306-7
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