Analyzing Industrial Structure Evolution of Old Industrial Cities Using Evolutionary Resilience Theory: A Case Study in Shenyang of China

GUAN Haoming; LIU Wenxin; ZHANG Pingyu; LO Kevin; LI Jing; LI Liangang

doi:10.1007/s11769-018-0963-5

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GUAN Haoming, LIU Wenxin, ZHANG Pingyu, LO Kevin, LI Jing, LI Liangang. Analyzing Industrial Structure Evolution of Old Industrial Cities Using Evolutionary Resilience Theory: A Case Study in Shenyang of China[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2018, 28(3): 516-528. doi: 10.1007/s11769-018-0963-5

Citation:

GUAN Haoming, LIU Wenxin, ZHANG Pingyu, LO Kevin, LI Jing, LI Liangang. Analyzing Industrial Structure Evolution of Old Industrial Cities Using Evolutionary Resilience Theory: A Case Study in Shenyang of China[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2018, 28(3): 516-528. doi: 10.1007/s11769-018-0963-5

Analyzing Industrial Structure Evolution of Old Industrial Cities Using Evolutionary Resilience Theory: A Case Study in Shenyang of China

doi: 10.1007/s11769-018-0963-5

1.
Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China;
2.
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
3.
Department of Geography, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong, China

Funds: Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41571152, 41771179, 41630749, 41601124), the Key Deployment Projects of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. ZDBS-SSW-SQC), 135 Planning and Featured Services Projects of IGA, Chinese Academy of Sciences (No. Y6H2091001)

More Information

Corresponding author: LIU Wenxin.E-mail:liuwx@iga.ac.cn
Received Date: 2017-12-20
Rev Recd Date: 2018-03-15
Publish Date: 2018-06-27

Abstract

The recession and revitalization of old industrial cities concerns urban industrial evolution and its characteristics. Based on the theory of evolutionary resilience, we developed an analytical framework for the industrial structure evolution of old industrial cities, and applied the framework to a case study in Shenyang. The following conclusions are drawn. First, since 1978, Shenyang's industrial growth capacity has shown fluctuation between ‘contraction-expansion’. As the secondary industry has a much stronger expansionary and contractionary capacity for growth, this results in lacking stability leading to industrial structure transformation. Second, since 1999, the orientation towards a high-end manufacturing industry in Shenyang has weakened, and the evolution of the new and old growth path is characterized by low-end orientation. Third, since 2007, Shenyang's industrial innovation output capacity has dropped sharply which has been significantly affected by scientific and technological personnel and enterprise-owed science and technology institutions and to a less extent by R&D expenditure. We applied the resilience theory to study the industrial evolution of an old industrial city, explored new study perspectives on industrial evolution and verified the applicability of the resilience theory. This paper provides a scientific reference for understanding the recent deceleration in economic growth in the Northeast old industrial base, and for exploring new paths toward revitalization.
- evolutionary resilience,
- industrial evolution path,
- economic cycle model,
- old industrial city,
- Shenyang

References

[1]	Boschma R, 2015. Towards an evolutionary perspective on regional resilience. Regional Studies, 49(5):733-751. doi:10. 1080/00343404.2014.959481
[2]	Chen Linlin, Jin Fengjun, Hong Hui, 2016. The evolution path of the industrial base in Northeast China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 36(9):1378-1387. (in Chinese)
[3]	Christopherson S, Michie J, Tyler P, 2010. Regional resilience:theoretical and empirical perspectives. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):3-10. doi: 10.1093/cjres/rsq004
[4]	Dai Dandan, Zhou Chunshan, 2012. Study on the characteristics of the industrial transformation for Guangzhou since 1995.
[5]	Economic Geography, 32(11):81-88. (in Chinese)
[6]	Deng Chunling, Qu Pengbo, 2010. Theoretical exploration and concrete evidence analysis of China economic cycle characteristics and reasons since the reform and opening. Contemporary Economy & Management, 32(3):5-9. (in Chinese)
[7]	Folke C, 2006. Resilience:the emergence of a perspective for social-ecological systems analyses. Global Environmental Change, 16(3):253-267. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.04. 002
[8]	Frenken K, Cefis E, Stam E, 2015. Industrial dynamics and clusters:a survey. Regional Studies, 49(1):10-27. doi: 10.1080/00343404.2014.904505
[9]	Fu Yuanhai, Ye Xiangsong, Wang Zhanxiang, 2014. The selection of technology progress path of manufacturing structure optimization-an empirical analysis based on dynamic panel data model. China Industrial Economics, (9):78-90. (in Chinese)
[10]	Hassink R, 2010. Regional resilience:a promising concept to explain differences in regional economic adaptability? Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):45-58. doi: 10.1093/cjres/rsp033
[11]	He Canfei, Dong Yao, Zhou Yi, 2016. Evolution of export product space in China:path-dependent or path-breaking? Acta Geographica Sinica, 71(6):970-983. (in Chinese)
[12]	Hu Shuguang, Liu Zhigao, Fan Ying, 2011. Review on the theory of industrial structure evolution. Journal of China University of Geosciences (Social Sciences Edition), 11(1):29-34. (in Chinese)
[13]	Hu Xiaohui, 2012. Review and prospect of regional economic resilience research. Foreign Economics & Management, 34(8):64-72. (in Chinese)
[14]	Hu X H, Hassink R, 2017. Exploring adaptation and adaptability in uneven economic resilience:a tale of two Chinese mining regions. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 10(3):527-541. doi: 10.1093/cjres/rsx012
[15]	Li Chenghua, 2009. On the relationship between urban transition and economic development mode. Innovation, 3(10):5-11. (in Chinese)
[16]	Li Xuexin, Tian Guangzeng, Miao Changhong, 2010. The reglonal central urban economic transformation:mechanism and mode. Urban Studies, 17(4):26-32. (in Chinese)
[17]	Liu Gang, Shen Lei, 2007. Characteristics and mechanism of Tibet's industrial structure evolution from 1951 to 2004. Acta Geographica Sinica, 62(4):364-376. (in Chinese)
[18]	Liu Zhigao, Zhang Wei, 2016. Review on study of industrial structure evolution and branching from the perspective of evolutionary economic geography. Economic Geography, 36(12):218-223, 232. (in Chinese)
[19]	Lu Dadao, 2015. Moderate-speed growth:sustainable development of China's economy. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 35(10):1207-1219. (in Chinese)
[20]	Martin R, Sunley P, 2007. Complexity thinking and evolutionary economic geography. Journal of Economic Geography, 7(5):573-601. doi: 10.1093/jeg/lbm019
[21]	Martin R, 2010. Roepke lecture in economic geography-rethinking regional path dependence:beyond lock-in to evolution. Economic Geography, 86(1):1-27. doi:10.1111/j. 1944-8287.2009.01056.x
[22]	Martin R, Sunley P, 2011. Conceptualizing cluster evolution:beyond the life cycle model? Regional Studies, 45(10):1299-1318. doi: 10.1080/00343404.2011.622263
[23]	Martin R, 2012. Regional economic resilience, hysteresis and recessionary shocks. Journal of Economic Geography, 12(1):1-32. doi: 10.1093/jeg/lbr019
[24]	Martin R, Sunley P, Gardiner B et al., 2016. How regions react to recessions:resilience and the role of economic structure. Regional Studies, 50(4):561-585. doi:10.1080/00343404.2015. 1136410
[25]	National Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China, 1986-2016. China Statistical Yearbook 1986-2016. Beijing:China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[26]	Department of Industrial Statistics, National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2001-2016. China Industrial Statistical Yearbook 2001-2016. Beijing:China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[27]	Pendall R, Foster K A, Cowell M, 2010. Resilience and regions:building understanding of the metaphor. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):71-84. doi: 10.1093/cjres/rsp028
[28]	Pike A, Dawley S, Tomaney J, 2010. Resilience, adaptation and adaptability. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):59-70. doi: 10.1093/cjres/rsq001
[29]	Romer P M, 1986. Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94(5):1002-1037. doi: 10.1086/261420
[30]	Scherer F M, 2001. Assessing progress in research on industrial evolution and economic growth:a review article. Small Business Economics, 16(3):237-242. doi:10.1023/A:10111327 22211
[31]	Shao Yiwen, Xu Jiang, 2015. Understanding urban resilience:a conceptual analysis based on integrated international literature review. Urban Planning International, 30(2):48-54. (in Chinese)
[32]	Shenyang Economic Statistical Yearbook Editorial Board. Shenyang Economic Statistical Yearbook 1986-1992. Beijing:China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[33]	Shenyang Statistics Bureau, Shenyang Survey Team of the National Bureau of Statistics, 1995-2016. Shenyang Statistical Yearbook 1995-2016. Shenyang:Shenyang Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[34]	Simmie J, Martin R, 2010. The economic resilience of regions:towards an evolutionary approach. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):27-43. doi: 10.1093/cjres/rsp029
[35]	Society, Science and Technology and Culture Industry Statistics Department, National Bureau of Statistics, Department of Innovation and Development, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2005-2016. China Statistical Yearbook on Science and Technology 2005-2016. Beijing:China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[36]	Tan Juntao, Zhang Pingyu, Lo K et al., 2017. Conceptualizing and measuring economic resilience of resource-based cities:case study of Northeast China. Chinese Geographical Science, 27(3):471-481. doi: 10.1007/s11769-017-0878-6
[37]	Tong Hengqing, 2005. Theoretical Econometrics. Beijing:Science Press, 128-136. (in Chinese)
[38]	Walker B, Holling C S, Carpenter S R et al., 2004. Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social-ecological systems. Ecology & Society, 9(2):5. doi: 10.5751/ES-00650-090205
[39]	Wang Jincheng, Wang Wei, 2013. Developing level of old industrial cities and decline mechanism. Journal of Natural Resources, 28(8):1275-1288. (in Chinese)
[40]	Yang Dongfeng, Yin Chengzhi, 2013. How to save the shrinking cities:old industrial cities' transition in the UK? Urban Planning International, 28(6):50-56. (in Chinese)
[41]	Zhang Keyun, 2016. Difficulties and reconstruction of the old industrial base in Northeast China. China Development Observation, (2):15-17. (in Chinese)
[42]	Zheng Xinli, 1995. Strategy for the Revitalization of China's Pillar Industries. Beijing:China Planning Press, 48-53. (in Chinese)
[43]	Zhu S J, He C F, Zhou Y, 2017. How to jump further and catch up? Path-breaking in an uneven industry space. Journal of Economic Geography, 17(3):521-545. doi:10.1093/jeg/lbw 047
[44]	Zhuo Xian, 2013. Metropolis should avoid economy stalling and industry fault during transformation and development. Reform, (6):73-79. (in Chinese)

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通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com

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沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院沈阳 110142

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Analyzing Industrial Structure Evolution of Old Industrial Cities Using Evolutionary Resilience Theory: A Case Study in Shenyang of China

1. Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130102, China;

2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;

3. Department of Geography, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong, China

Corresponding author: LIU Wenxin.E-mail:liuwx@iga.ac.cn

Received Date: 2017-12-20

Rev Recd Date: 2018-03-15

Publish Date: 2018-06-27

Key words:

Abstract: The recession and revitalization of old industrial cities concerns urban industrial evolution and its characteristics. Based on the theory of evolutionary resilience, we developed an analytical framework for the industrial structure evolution of old industrial cities, and applied the framework to a case study in Shenyang. The following conclusions are drawn. First, since 1978, Shenyang's industrial growth capacity has shown fluctuation between ‘contraction-expansion’. As the secondary industry has a much stronger expansionary and contractionary capacity for growth, this results in lacking stability leading to industrial structure transformation. Second, since 1999, the orientation towards a high-end manufacturing industry in Shenyang has weakened, and the evolution of the new and old growth path is characterized by low-end orientation. Third, since 2007, Shenyang's industrial innovation output capacity has dropped sharply which has been significantly affected by scientific and technological personnel and enterprise-owed science and technology institutions and to a less extent by R&D expenditure. We applied the resilience theory to study the industrial evolution of an old industrial city, explored new study perspectives on industrial evolution and verified the applicability of the resilience theory. This paper provides a scientific reference for understanding the recent deceleration in economic growth in the Northeast old industrial base, and for exploring new paths toward revitalization.

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Reference (44)

[1]	Boschma R, 2015. Towards an evolutionary perspective on regional resilience. Regional Studies, 49(5):733-751. doi:10. 1080/00343404.2014.959481
[2]	Chen Linlin, Jin Fengjun, Hong Hui, 2016. The evolution path of the industrial base in Northeast China. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 36(9):1378-1387. (in Chinese)
[3]	Christopherson S, Michie J, Tyler P, 2010. Regional resilience:theoretical and empirical perspectives. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):3-10. doi:10.1093/cjres/rsq004
[4]	Dai Dandan, Zhou Chunshan, 2012. Study on the characteristics of the industrial transformation for Guangzhou since 1995.
[5]	Economic Geography, 32(11):81-88. (in Chinese)
[6]	Deng Chunling, Qu Pengbo, 2010. Theoretical exploration and concrete evidence analysis of China economic cycle characteristics and reasons since the reform and opening. Contemporary Economy & Management, 32(3):5-9. (in Chinese)
[7]	Folke C, 2006. Resilience:the emergence of a perspective for social-ecological systems analyses. Global Environmental Change, 16(3):253-267. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.04. 002
[8]	Frenken K, Cefis E, Stam E, 2015. Industrial dynamics and clusters:a survey. Regional Studies, 49(1):10-27. doi:10.1080/00343404.2014.904505
[9]	Fu Yuanhai, Ye Xiangsong, Wang Zhanxiang, 2014. The selection of technology progress path of manufacturing structure optimization-an empirical analysis based on dynamic panel data model. China Industrial Economics, (9):78-90. (in Chinese)
[10]	Hassink R, 2010. Regional resilience:a promising concept to explain differences in regional economic adaptability? Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):45-58. doi:10.1093/cjres/rsp033
[11]	He Canfei, Dong Yao, Zhou Yi, 2016. Evolution of export product space in China:path-dependent or path-breaking? Acta Geographica Sinica, 71(6):970-983. (in Chinese)
[12]	Hu Shuguang, Liu Zhigao, Fan Ying, 2011. Review on the theory of industrial structure evolution. Journal of China University of Geosciences (Social Sciences Edition), 11(1):29-34. (in Chinese)
[13]	Hu Xiaohui, 2012. Review and prospect of regional economic resilience research. Foreign Economics & Management, 34(8):64-72. (in Chinese)
[14]	Hu X H, Hassink R, 2017. Exploring adaptation and adaptability in uneven economic resilience:a tale of two Chinese mining regions. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 10(3):527-541. doi:10.1093/cjres/rsx012
[15]	Li Chenghua, 2009. On the relationship between urban transition and economic development mode. Innovation, 3(10):5-11. (in Chinese)
[16]	Li Xuexin, Tian Guangzeng, Miao Changhong, 2010. The reglonal central urban economic transformation:mechanism and mode. Urban Studies, 17(4):26-32. (in Chinese)
[17]	Liu Gang, Shen Lei, 2007. Characteristics and mechanism of Tibet's industrial structure evolution from 1951 to 2004. Acta Geographica Sinica, 62(4):364-376. (in Chinese)
[18]	Liu Zhigao, Zhang Wei, 2016. Review on study of industrial structure evolution and branching from the perspective of evolutionary economic geography. Economic Geography, 36(12):218-223, 232. (in Chinese)
[19]	Lu Dadao, 2015. Moderate-speed growth:sustainable development of China's economy. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 35(10):1207-1219. (in Chinese)
[20]	Martin R, Sunley P, 2007. Complexity thinking and evolutionary economic geography. Journal of Economic Geography, 7(5):573-601. doi:10.1093/jeg/lbm019
[21]	Martin R, 2010. Roepke lecture in economic geography-rethinking regional path dependence:beyond lock-in to evolution. Economic Geography, 86(1):1-27. doi:10.1111/j. 1944-8287.2009.01056.x
[22]	Martin R, Sunley P, 2011. Conceptualizing cluster evolution:beyond the life cycle model? Regional Studies, 45(10):1299-1318. doi:10.1080/00343404.2011.622263
[23]	Martin R, 2012. Regional economic resilience, hysteresis and recessionary shocks. Journal of Economic Geography, 12(1):1-32. doi:10.1093/jeg/lbr019
[24]	Martin R, Sunley P, Gardiner B et al., 2016. How regions react to recessions:resilience and the role of economic structure. Regional Studies, 50(4):561-585. doi:10.1080/00343404.2015. 1136410
[25]	National Bureau of Statistics of the People's Republic of China, 1986-2016. China Statistical Yearbook 1986-2016. Beijing:China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[26]	Department of Industrial Statistics, National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2001-2016. China Industrial Statistical Yearbook 2001-2016. Beijing:China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[27]	Pendall R, Foster K A, Cowell M, 2010. Resilience and regions:building understanding of the metaphor. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):71-84. doi:10.1093/cjres/rsp028
[28]	Pike A, Dawley S, Tomaney J, 2010. Resilience, adaptation and adaptability. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):59-70. doi:10.1093/cjres/rsq001
[29]	Romer P M, 1986. Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94(5):1002-1037. doi:10.1086/261420
[30]	Scherer F M, 2001. Assessing progress in research on industrial evolution and economic growth:a review article. Small Business Economics, 16(3):237-242. doi:10.1023/A:10111327 22211
[31]	Shao Yiwen, Xu Jiang, 2015. Understanding urban resilience:a conceptual analysis based on integrated international literature review. Urban Planning International, 30(2):48-54. (in Chinese)
[32]	Shenyang Economic Statistical Yearbook Editorial Board. Shenyang Economic Statistical Yearbook 1986-1992. Beijing:China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[33]	Shenyang Statistics Bureau, Shenyang Survey Team of the National Bureau of Statistics, 1995-2016. Shenyang Statistical Yearbook 1995-2016. Shenyang:Shenyang Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[34]	Simmie J, Martin R, 2010. The economic resilience of regions:towards an evolutionary approach. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 3(1):27-43. doi:10.1093/cjres/rsp029
[35]	Society, Science and Technology and Culture Industry Statistics Department, National Bureau of Statistics, Department of Innovation and Development, Ministry of Science and Technology, 2005-2016. China Statistical Yearbook on Science and Technology 2005-2016. Beijing:China Statistics Press. (in Chinese)
[36]	Tan Juntao, Zhang Pingyu, Lo K et al., 2017. Conceptualizing and measuring economic resilience of resource-based cities:case study of Northeast China. Chinese Geographical Science, 27(3):471-481. doi:10.1007/s11769-017-0878-6
[37]	Tong Hengqing, 2005. Theoretical Econometrics. Beijing:Science Press, 128-136. (in Chinese)
[38]	Walker B, Holling C S, Carpenter S R et al., 2004. Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social-ecological systems. Ecology & Society, 9(2):5. doi:10.5751/ES-00650-090205
[39]	Wang Jincheng, Wang Wei, 2013. Developing level of old industrial cities and decline mechanism. Journal of Natural Resources, 28(8):1275-1288. (in Chinese)
[40]	Yang Dongfeng, Yin Chengzhi, 2013. How to save the shrinking cities:old industrial cities' transition in the UK? Urban Planning International, 28(6):50-56. (in Chinese)
[41]	Zhang Keyun, 2016. Difficulties and reconstruction of the old industrial base in Northeast China. China Development Observation, (2):15-17. (in Chinese)
[42]	Zheng Xinli, 1995. Strategy for the Revitalization of China's Pillar Industries. Beijing:China Planning Press, 48-53. (in Chinese)
[43]	Zhu S J, He C F, Zhou Y, 2017. How to jump further and catch up? Path-breaking in an uneven industry space. Journal of Economic Geography, 17(3):521-545. doi:10.1093/jeg/lbw 047
[44]	Zhuo Xian, 2013. Metropolis should avoid economy stalling and industry fault during transformation and development. Reform, (6):73-79. (in Chinese)

Analyzing Industrial Structure Evolution of Old Industrial Cities Using Evolutionary Resilience Theory: A Case Study in Shenyang of China

doi: 10.1007/s11769-018-0963-5

Abstract

References

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通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com

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