A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

SUN Yan-feng; GUO Huai-cheng; QU Guang-yi

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A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi

文章导航 > Chinese Geographical Science > 2002 > 12(2): 157-165

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi. A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA[J]. 中国地理科学, 2002, 12(2): 157-165.

引用本文:

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi. A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA[J]. 中国地理科学, 2002, 12(2): 157-165.

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi. A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2002, 12(2): 157-165.

Citation:

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi. A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2002, 12(2): 157-165.

A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

Center for Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P. R. China

基金项目: Under the auspices of Science & Technology Commission of the Beijing Municipal People's Government(No.954901700) and a prediction system research for water quality of water resource in Beijing(RK99-21).

详细信息

作者简介:
SUN Yan-feng(1976- ),female,a native of Dalian, Liaoning Province, Master candidate of Peking University. Her research interests include environmental planning and management.

中图分类号: X22

A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

Center for Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P. R. China

摘要: Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and more attention from the public and government has been paid to the regional sustainable development. And an effective planning for the local society management system is urgently desired. In this study, a regional sustainable development system dynamics model, named MiyunSD, is developed for supporting this planning task. MiyunSD consists of dynamic simulation models that explicitly consider information feedback that governs interactions in the system. Such models are capable of simulating the system's behavior and predicting its developing situation of the future. For the study case, interactions among a number of system components within a time frame of fifteen years are examined dynamically. Three planning alternatives are carefully considered. The base run is based on an assumption that the existing pattern of human activities will prevail in the entire planning horizon, and the other alternatives are based on previous and present planning studies. The different alternatives will get different system's environmental and socio economic results. Through analyzing these dynamic results, local authorities may find an optimal way to realize the objectives that the regional environment will be well protected and at the same time the economy will be rapidly developed.
- Miyun reservoir /
- sustainable development /
- model /
- policy /
- management /
- system dynamics
Abstract: Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and more attention from the public and government has been paid to the regional sustainable development. And an effective planning for the local society management system is urgently desired. In this study, a regional sustainable development system dynamics model, named MiyunSD, is developed for supporting this planning task. MiyunSD consists of dynamic simulation models that explicitly consider information feedback that governs interactions in the system. Such models are capable of simulating the system's behavior and predicting its developing situation of the future. For the study case, interactions among a number of system components within a time frame of fifteen years are examined dynamically. Three planning alternatives are carefully considered. The base run is based on an assumption that the existing pattern of human activities will prevail in the entire planning horizon, and the other alternatives are based on previous and present planning studies. The different alternatives will get different system's environmental and socio economic results. Through analyzing these dynamic results, local authorities may find an optimal way to realize the objectives that the regional environment will be well protected and at the same time the economy will be rapidly developed.
- Miyun reservoir /
- sustainable development /
- model /
- policy /
- management /
- system dynamics

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A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

Center for Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P. R. China

作者简介:
SUN Yan-feng(1976- ),female,a native of Dalian, Liaoning Province, Master candidate of Peking University. Her research interests include environmental planning and management.

收稿日期: 2002-03-01
刊出日期: 2002-06-20

中图分类号: X22

关键词:

Miyun reservoir /

sustainable development /

model /

policy /

management /

system dynamics

摘要: Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and more attention from the public and government has been paid to the regional sustainable development. And an effective planning for the local society management system is urgently desired. In this study, a regional sustainable development system dynamics model, named MiyunSD, is developed for supporting this planning task. MiyunSD consists of dynamic simulation models that explicitly consider information feedback that governs interactions in the system. Such models are capable of simulating the system's behavior and predicting its developing situation of the future. For the study case, interactions among a number of system components within a time frame of fifteen years are examined dynamically. Three planning alternatives are carefully considered. The base run is based on an assumption that the existing pattern of human activities will prevail in the entire planning horizon, and the other alternatives are based on previous and present planning studies. The different alternatives will get different system's environmental and socio economic results. Through analyzing these dynamic results, local authorities may find an optimal way to realize the objectives that the regional environment will be well protected and at the same time the economy will be rapidly developed.

English Abstract

A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

Center for Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P. R. China

Received Date: 2002-03-01
Publish Date: 2002-06-20

Keywords:

Abstract: Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and more attention from the public and government has been paid to the regional sustainable development. And an effective planning for the local society management system is urgently desired. In this study, a regional sustainable development system dynamics model, named MiyunSD, is developed for supporting this planning task. MiyunSD consists of dynamic simulation models that explicitly consider information feedback that governs interactions in the system. Such models are capable of simulating the system's behavior and predicting its developing situation of the future. For the study case, interactions among a number of system components within a time frame of fifteen years are examined dynamically. Three planning alternatives are carefully considered. The base run is based on an assumption that the existing pattern of human activities will prevail in the entire planning horizon, and the other alternatives are based on previous and present planning studies. The different alternatives will get different system's environmental and socio economic results. Through analyzing these dynamic results, local authorities may find an optimal way to realize the objectives that the regional environment will be well protected and at the same time the economy will be rapidly developed.

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi. A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA[J]. 中国地理科学, 2002, 12(2): 157-165.

引用本文:

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi. A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA[J]. 中国地理科学, 2002, 12(2): 157-165.

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi. A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2002, 12(2): 157-165.

Citation:

SUN Yan-feng, GUO Huai-cheng, QU Guang-yi. A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2002, 12(2): 157-165.

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A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

作者简介: SUN Yan-feng(1976- ),female,a native of Dalian, Liaoning Province, Master candidate of Peking University. Her research interests include environmental planning and management.

A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

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出版历程

A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

Center for Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P. R. China

作者简介: SUN Yan-feng(1976- ),female,a native of Dalian, Liaoning Province, Master candidate of Peking University. Her research interests include environmental planning and management.

English Abstract

A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

Center for Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P. R. China

全文HTML

目录

作者简介:
SUN Yan-feng(1976- ),female,a native of Dalian, Liaoning Province, Master candidate of Peking University. Her research interests include environmental planning and management.

作者简介:
SUN Yan-feng(1976- ),female,a native of Dalian, Liaoning Province, Master candidate of Peking University. Her research interests include environmental planning and management.