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FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA

WANG Dian-hai LI Zhen-fu

WANG Dian-hai, LI Zhen-fu. FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA[J]. 中国地理科学, 2002, 12(4): 294-298.
引用本文: WANG Dian-hai, LI Zhen-fu. FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA[J]. 中国地理科学, 2002, 12(4): 294-298.
WANG Dian-hai, LI Zhen-fu. FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2002, 12(4): 294-298.
Citation: WANG Dian-hai, LI Zhen-fu. FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2002, 12(4): 294-298.

FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA

基金项目: Under the auspices of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.70071039); Subsidized Plan for University Backbone Teacher of Ministry of Education(No.1000).
详细信息
    作者简介:

    WANG Dian-hai (1962- ),male,a native of Da'an County of Jilin Province, professor, Ph. D. advisor. His research interests include communication planning and controlling. Email: wangdh@ jlu.edu.cn.

  • 中图分类号: F119.9

FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA

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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2002-08-19
  • 刊出日期:  2002-12-20

FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA

    基金项目:  Under the auspices of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.70071039); Subsidized Plan for University Backbone Teacher of Ministry of Education(No.1000).
    作者简介:

    WANG Dian-hai (1962- ),male,a native of Da'an County of Jilin Province, professor, Ph. D. advisor. His research interests include communication planning and controlling. Email: wangdh@ jlu.edu.cn.

  • 中图分类号: F119.9

摘要: China is a country in the period of economy takeoff.We cannot use the common method to forecast its future economy level.This paper establishes an economic level forecast model of the countries whose economy is in the take off bacause of the stimulation of model country.The enlightenment of the model is from physics.If there are two substances,A and B,and a medium between them,according to physics,when substance A is hotter than B,B's temperature will inevitably rise and close to that of A.Thus,this system tends to be a s tate of balance.Three factors affec t heat conducation between substance A and B.They a re the difference of temperature between two substances.the conductivity of meduimand the characteristics of th emselves.The model is testified thr ough two examples.And then we foreca st the economic development level of China in long term.This paper raises a model to solve the problem of research approaches.However,sice there are some limitations on data source,problems will appear.For example,in certain years,our forecast results do not suit the real situ ation.But in the long term,the tendecy is accurate.Then this model can be amended in accordance with different situations.

English Abstract

WANG Dian-hai, LI Zhen-fu. FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA[J]. 中国地理科学, 2002, 12(4): 294-298.
引用本文: WANG Dian-hai, LI Zhen-fu. FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA[J]. 中国地理科学, 2002, 12(4): 294-298.
WANG Dian-hai, LI Zhen-fu. FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2002, 12(4): 294-298.
Citation: WANG Dian-hai, LI Zhen-fu. FORECAST ON FUTURE LEVEL OF ECONOMY DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2002, 12(4): 294-298.

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