Arnell N W,Reynard N S,1996.The effects of climate change due to global warming on river flows in Great Britain.Journal of Hydrology,183(3-4):397-424.DOI:10.1016/0022-1694 (95)02950-8.
 Cao Yongqiang,You Hailin,Xing Xiaosen et al.,2009.Multiple regression runoff forecasting model based on logistic equation and its application.Water Power,(6):12-14.(in Chinese).
 Chen Yaning,Xu Changchun,Hao Xingming et al.,2009.Fifty-year climate change and its effect on annual runoff in the Tarim River Basin,China.Quaternary International,208(1-2):53-61.DOI:10.1016/j.quaint.2008.11.011.
 David L,Yves G,Jean L P et al.,2004.Evidence for global runoff increase related to climate warming.Advances in Water Resources,27(6):631-642.DOI:10.1016/j.advwatres.2004.02.0-20.
 Fujihara Y,Tanaka K,Watanabe T et al.,2008.Assessing the impacts of climate change on the water resources of the Seyhan River Basin in Turkey:Use of dynamically downscaled data for hydrologic simulations.Journal of Hydrology,353(1-2):33-48.DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.01.024.
 Gao S,Wang J,Xiong L et al.,2002.A macro-scale and semi-distributed monthly water balance model to predict climate change impacts in China.Journal of Hydrology,268(1):1-15.DOI:10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00075-6.
 He Xilin,Dong Xianjun,Zhou Jianwei,1998.A grey forecasting method of mid-long term spring runoff forecasting in Manas River.Journal of Shihezi University (Natural Science),2(3):227-230.(in Chinese).
 Hong Shizhong,1999.Nonlinear time series analysis and its application to geoscience.Advance in Earth Sciences,14(6):559-565.(in Chinese).
 Jiang Xiaohui,Liu Changming,Liu Yu et al.,2004.Mix regression model application for forecast annual flow in Yellow River under duality model.Science in China (Ser.E),34(supp.):95-102.(in Chinese).
 Jonathan I M,Graciana P,Kenneth M M,2004.Evaluation of the impact of climate change on hydrology and water resources in Swaziland:Part II.Physics and Chemistry of the Earth,29(15-18):1193-1202.DOI:10.1016/j.pce.2004.09.035.
 Li Kerang,Chen Yufeng,1999.The progress in methodologies to study impacts of global climate change in China.Geographical Research,18(2):214-219.(in Chinese).
 Liu Changming,2004.Study of some problems in water cycle changes of the Yellow River basin.Advances in Water Science,15(5):608-614.(in Chinese).
 Liu Chunzhen,2004.The issue in the study of climate change on the terrestrial hydrological cycle.Advances in Earth Science,19(1):115-119.(in Chinese).
 Maria H,Martin F,Michael S et al.,2006.An application of artificial neural networks to carbon,nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations in three boreal streams and impacts of climate change.Ecological Modelling,195(1-2):51-60.DOI:10.101-6/j.ecolmodel.2005.11.009.
 Roger N J,Francis H S,Walter C et al.,2006.Estimating the sensitivity of mean annual runoff to climate change using selected hydrological models.Advances in Water Resources,29(10):1419-1429.DOI:10.1016/j.advwatres.2005.11.001.
 Science U N A O,1977.Climate Change and Water Supply.Washington D C:National Academy Press.
 Susan S D,PeterL,Ray M et al.,2008.The impacts of climate change on hydrology in Ireland.Journal of Hydrology,356(1-2):28-45.DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.03.025.
 Vivek K A,2002.The use of the aridity index to assess climate change effect on annual runoff.Journal of Hydrology,265(1-4):164-177.DOI:10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00101-4.
 Wang Ling,Huang Guoru,2003.Application of modified BP model to basin daily-runoff forecasting.Water Resources and Power,21(1):32-34.(in Chinese).
 Wang Shunjiu,2006.Impacts of global climate change on hydrology and water resources.Advances in Climate Change,2(5):223-227.(in Chinese).
 Wang Xiujie,Lian Jijian,Fei Shouming et al.,2007.Chaotic multivariate autoregressive model of daily runoff prediction based on wavelet de-noising.Journal of System Simulation,19(15):3605-3608.(in Chinese).
 Wang Yimin,Yu Xingjie,Chang Jianxia,2008.Prediction of runoff based on BP neural network and Markov model.Engineering Journal of Wuhan University,41(5):14-18.(in Chinese).
 Wang Zhenglong,Hu Yonghong,2007.Applied Time Series Analysis.Beijing:Science Press,(in Chinese).
 Yu Guorong,Ye Hui,Xia Ziqiang et al.,2009.Application of projection pursuit auto-regressionmodel in predicting runof of Yangtze River.Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences),37(3):263-266.(in Chinese).